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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +52 pts | +70 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 335d | ExDeus | Jair Bolsonaro in jail by November 30? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,323 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 335d |  Allinnothing | Jair Bolsonaro in jail by November 30? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,270 | +$11 +0.9% | 4 |
| 336d |  bamesjond | Jair Bolsonaro in jail by November 30? | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,645 | −$114 −6.9% | — |
| 336d | bamesjond | Jair Bolsonaro in jail by November 30? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,516 | +$51 +1.5% | 4 |
| 336d |  probability2 fills | Jair Bolsonaro in jail by November 30? | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,864 | +$124 +4.3% | 4 |
funding4,000 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Jair Bolsonaro is confined in a jail or prison for any length of time by November 30, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". House arrest will not qualify toward the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the detaining government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.