Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real American - Rick Derringer | 100% | +39 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 23 - Jake Paul | 0% | −42 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| All My Life - Lil Durk featuring J. Cole | 0% | −42 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| All of the Lights - Kanye West | 0% | −26 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Basketball - Bow Wow | 0% | −48 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Drip Too Hard - Lil Baby & Lil Durk | 0% | −47 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Got It On Me - Pop Smoke | 0% | −48 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| In the Air Tonight - Phil Collins | 0% | −33 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Paper Planes - M.I.A. | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Park South Freestyle - Jake Paul | 0% | −45 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Rockin’ Around the Christmas Tree - Brenda Lee | 0% | −46 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Runaway - Kanye West | 0% | −24 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Something Different - Why Don’t We | 0% | −47 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Take Me Away - Jake Paul featuring Tydis | 0% | −40 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Till I Die - Machine Gun Kelly | 0% | −31 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Walk - Jake Paul | 0% | −17 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 308d | hbadam3 fills | Real American - Rick Derringer | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $4,167 | −$267 −6.4% | — |
| 308d |  JoeMaserati | Till I Die - Machine Gun Kelly | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,638 | +$9 +0.1% | 4 |
| 308d | Zay1102 | Real American - Rick Derringer | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,494 | −$58 −3.9% | — |
| 308d | Zay1102 | Till I Die - Machine Gun Kelly | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,774 | −$26 −1.5% | — |
| 308d |  yataros | Something Different - Why Don’t We | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,272 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 308d | Figbonner1 | Real American - Rick Derringer | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,480 | −$71 −4.8% | — |
| 308d |  DogsInPools | Real American - Rick Derringer | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $4,225 | +$161 +3.8% | 4 |
| 308d | POWERSLAP-EXPERT | Real American - Rick Derringer | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,228 | +$27 +1.2% | 4 |
| 308d |  lranon2nd | Till I Die - Machine Gun Kelly | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,193 | +$12 +1.0% | 4 |
| 308d |  BeneGesseritVoice | Rockin’ Around the Christmas Tree - Brenda Lee | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,651 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 308d | CryptoSaiyan | Till I Die - Machine Gun Kelly | BuyNo50¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$1,000 +100% | 4 |
| 308d |  Painfulvoid | Real American - Rick Derringer | BuyNo70¢ → 0¢ | $1,306 | −$1,306 −100% | 4 |
| 308d | shmizzy | Real American - Rick Derringer | BuyYes45¢ → 100¢ | $1,254 | +$1,503 +120% | 4 |
| 308d | birdseyeviews | Real American - Rick Derringer | BuyNo81¢ → 0¢ | $1,990 | −$1,990 −100% | 4 |
| 308d | elhalcondelnoche | Real American - Rick Derringer | BuyNo76¢ → 0¢ | $1,400 | −$1,400 −100% | 4 |
Painfulvoid1,858 sharesJake Paul is scheduled to fight Anthony Joshua in a boxing match on December 19, 2025 at the Kaseya Center in Miami, Florida. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any part of the listed song is played in the event venue during Jake Paul’s walkout to the ring for his fight vs. Anthony Joshua. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Jake Paul’s walkout refers to the period beginning when music starts in preparation for Jake Paul to walk to the ring or when Jake Paul is first pictured walking to the ring, and ending when the music ends and Jake Paul has entered the ring. Songs played before Jake Paul’s walkout, after the fight has begun, during Anthony Joshua’s walkout, or played only by the broadcast but not in the event venue will not count. If two or more listed songs are played in the event venue while Jake Paul is walking out to the ring for his fight vs. Anthony Joshua, the markets corresponding to the played songs will all resolve to “Yes”. Remixes, covers, live performances, or other alternate versions of the listed song will count as the listed song being played. If this fight is canceled, postponed after January 31, 2026, or otherwise does not take place within this timeframe, or no music is played during Jake Paul's walkout, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be live or recorded broadcast video and audio of the event; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Real American - Rick Derringer means the market gives it about 100%.