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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≥2.9% | 100% | +14 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ≤2.6% | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 2.7% | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 2.8% | 0% | −10 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 618d |  d1k21 | 2.7% | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,996 | +$4 +0.1% | 10 |
| 618d |  AgricultureSecretary | 2.8% | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,445 | +$15 +1.0% | 10 |
| 618d | RandomJake | ≤2.6% | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,016 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 621d | 56768 | 2.7% | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $48,385 | +$687 +1.4% | 10 |
| 625d | PrinceHal | ≥2.9% | SellYes75¢ → 100¢ | $1,078 | −$359 −33% | — |
| 634d | EwokGoon | ≥2.9% | BuyYes81¢ → 100¢ | $1,347 | +$306 +23% | 10 |
This is a market on predicting the annual inflation rate for January.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for ≥2.9% means the market gives it about 100%.