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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≥0.4% | 100% | +64 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ≤0.1% | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 0.2% | 0% | −12 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 0.3% | 0% | −50 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 618d |  AgricultureSecretary | ≤0.1% | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,729 | +$7 +0.1% | 10 |
| 618d | AgricultureSecretary | ≥0.4% | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,970 | +$30 +1.0% | 10 |
| 618d |  KimJonEn | ≥0.4% | BuyNo74¢ → 0¢ | $1,796 | −$1,796 −100% | 17 |
| 620d | QQ11-378 | 0.2% | SellNo84¢ → 100¢ | $6,384 | −$1,216 −19% | — |
| 620d | QQ11-378 | ≥0.4% | SellYes32¢ → 100¢ | $24,000 | −$51,000 −212% | — |
| 620d | QQ11-378 | 0.2% | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $6,460 | +$1,140 +18% | 13 |
| 620d | cynbbb | ≥0.4% | BuyNo67¢ → 0¢ | $50,250 | −$50,250 −100% | 15 |
| 621d | 56768 | 0.2% | SellNo89¢ → 100¢ | $43,610 | −$5,390 −12% | — |
| 621d | TYH88 | 0.2% | BuyYes11¢ → 0¢ | $5,390 | −$5,390 −100% | 24 |
| 622d |  iamhungry2 fills | ≥0.4% | BuyNo71¢ → 0¢ | $2,882 | −$2,882 −100% | 12 |
| 641d | PrinceHal | ≤0.1% | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $2,089 | +$411 +20% | 10 |
This is a market on predicting the monthly inflation rate for January.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for ≥0.4% means the market gives it about 100%.