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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +23 pts | +73 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 412d |  duderr | Japan prime minister Ishiba out in 2025? | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,498 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 412d |  0x6e8f80ca0cddb8d3f207dc5147ac0e6062ae162 | Japan prime minister Ishiba out in 2025? | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,588 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 412d |  debased | Japan prime minister Ishiba out in 2025? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,458 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
| 412d | abusivienejskx | Japan prime minister Ishiba out in 2025? | BuyYes100¢ | $1,194 | +$6 +0.5% | 4 |
| 412d |  Theturtle | Japan prime minister Ishiba out in 2025? | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,403 | −$31 −2.2% | — |
| 412d |  0xf1434f7d6de30bfbbdfeadd075a1f40f2 fills | Japan prime minister Ishiba out in 2025? | BuyYes79¢ → 100¢ | $3,507 | +$909 +26% | 4 |
| 427d |  tkgshn | Japan prime minister Ishiba out in 2025? | SellNo62¢ → 0¢ | $1,009 | +$1,009 +100% | — |
| 428d |  Nagaremono | Japan prime minister Ishiba out in 2025? | SellNo78¢ → 0¢ | $1,210 | +$1,210 +100% | — |
| 441d | carneymania | Japan prime minister Ishiba out in 2025? | BuyYes69¢ → 100¢ | $3,380 | +$1,523 +45% | 4 |
| 458d | KIKIKI | Japan prime minister Ishiba out in 2025? | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,322 | +$121 +9.2% | 4 |
| 458d |  ditto555 | Japan prime minister Ishiba out in 2025? | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $1,106 | +$207 +19% | 4 |
| 459d |  ImKitaNow | Japan prime minister Ishiba out in 2025? | SellNo53¢ → 0¢ | $9,516 | +$9,516 +100% | — |
| 460d | 10188 | Japan prime minister Ishiba out in 2025? | SellNo50¢ → 0¢ | $2,053 | +$2,053 +100% | — |
| 460d |  CoffeeLover | Japan prime minister Ishiba out in 2025? | BuyNo32¢ → 0¢ | $1,067 | −$1,067 −100% | 4 |
| 460d | ImKitaNow | Japan prime minister Ishiba out in 2025? | BuyNo43¢ → 0¢ | $8,600 | −$8,600 −100% | 7 |
| 559d | Sylvion | Japan prime minister Ishiba out in 2025? | SellNo47¢ → 0¢ | $11,320 | +$11,320 +100% | — |
| 559d | Velthor | Japan prime minister Ishiba out in 2025? | BuyYes54¢ → 100¢ | $13,017 | +$11,089 +85% | 4 |
ImKitaNow4,828 shares
user-213094o908 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Shigeru Ishiba ceases to be the Prime Minister of Japan for any period of time between February 9 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Shigeru Ishiba's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Japan, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.