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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.16-1.22 | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| <1.09 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| 1.09-1.15 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| 1.23-1.29 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| >1.29 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 830d |  aenews23 fills | 1.09-1.15 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,793 | +$61 +1.3% | 4 |
| 830d | aenews2 | 1.16-1.22 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,076 | +$15 +1.4% | 4 |
| 832d | junkbonds | 1.09-1.15 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,294 | +$13 +1.0% | 4 |
| 832d | junkbonds | <1.09 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,296 | +$11 +0.8% | 4 |
| 832d | aenews24 fills | <1.09 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $7,210 | +$233 +3.2% | 4 |
| 842d | lasso | <1.09 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,066 | +$34 +3.2% | 4 |
| 854d |  gopfan | 1.16-1.22 | BuyNo68¢ → 0¢ | $1,161 | −$1,161 −100% | 4 |
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Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 1.16-1.22 means the market gives it about 100%.