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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $0.40 - $0.70 | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| <$0.40 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| $0.70 - $1 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| >$1 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 989d | professorx | <$0.40 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,503 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 989d | $0.40 - $0.70 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,511 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 989d | $0.40 - $0.70 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,507 | +$6 +0.4% | 4 | |
| 990d | $0.40 - $0.70 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,470 | −$13 −0.5% | — | |
| 990d | $0.40 - $0.70 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,474 | +$10 +0.4% | 4 | |
| 992d | $0.40 - $0.70 | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,400 | −$122 −8.7% | — | |
| 994d | <$0.40 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,727 | +$53 +3.1% | 5 | |
| 995d | $0.40 - $0.70 | BuyYes51¢ → 100¢ | $1,369 | +$1,336 +98% | 6 |
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Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for $0.40 - $0.70 means the market gives it about 100%.