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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +14 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 655d | Ordon | Justin Trudeau out as leader of Liberals before April? | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,139 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 655d | ndasmdsam | Justin Trudeau out as leader of Liberals before April? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,099 | +$2 +0.2% | 20 |
| 655d | IDontLikeRisk | Justin Trudeau out as leader of Liberals before April? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,454 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 655d |  CitizenScientist | Justin Trudeau out as leader of Liberals before April? | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,255 | +$6 +0.3% | 20 |
| 655d | TheBoyBilly... | Justin Trudeau out as leader of Liberals before April? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,846 | +$19 +1.0% | 20 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Justin Trudeau announces he is resigning as head of the Liberal Party of Canada or otherwise ceases to be head of the Liberal Party of Canada for any length of time between December 15, 2024 and March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Justin Trudeau announces he is resigning but remains on in this position to a point outside this market's timeframe, the announcement will still qualify for an immediate "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Justin Trudeau or the Liberal Party of Canada, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.