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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −8 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 715d |  LlamaEnjoyer | Kamala wins 319-219 - swing state sweep | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,968 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 716d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly2 fills | Kamala wins 319-219 - swing state sweep | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $11,472 | +$433 +3.8% | 4 |
| 719d | KevinFinnerty2 fills | Kamala wins 319-219 - swing state sweep | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $7,927 | +$566 +7.1% | 4 |
| 720d | AustinSWD | Kamala wins 319-219 - swing state sweep | BuyYes8¢ → 0¢ | $1,094 | −$1,094 −100% | 7 |
| 720d |  Skip-Earthwax | Kamala wins 319-219 - swing state sweep | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,044 | −$67 −6.4% | — |
Note: This market is about Kamala Harris winning with exactly 319 electoral votes, with this specific configuration: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/kamala+319.png. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris secures exactly 319 electoral votes in the 2024 United States Presidential Election by winning the following states and districts: Arizona (11), California (54), Colorado (10), Connecticut (7), Delaware (3), District of Columbia (3), Georgia (16), Hawaii (4), Illinois (19), Maine (3 out of 4 electoral votes, including the 1st Congressional District and the At-Large vote), Maryland (10), Massachusetts (11), Michigan (15), Minnesota (10), Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District (1), Nevada (6), North Carolina (16), New Hampshire (4), New Jersey (14), New Mexico (5), New York (28), Oregon (8), Pennsylvania (19), Rhode Island (4), Vermont (3), Virginia (13), and Washington (12), Wisconsin (10). If Kamala Harris does not win exactly these states and districts, thereby securing exactly 319 electoral votes, this market will resolve to "No." A candidate will be considered to have won all electoral votes from a territory if they win the plurality of the votes. Faithless electors will not be considered.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.