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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −8 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 717d | Naropoly | Kamala wins 270-268 - MI, PA, WI | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,982 | −$18 −0.9% | — |
| 717d | LetosPeace2 fills | Kamala wins 270-268 - MI, PA, WI | BuyNo>99¢ | $57,768 | +$232 +0.4% | 4 |
| 717d |  Green3 fills | Kamala wins 270-268 - MI, PA, WI | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $12,166 | −$1,399 −11% | — |
| 719d | Pastel-DozenNew account | Kamala wins 270-268 - MI, PA, WI | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,012 | +$88 +8.7% | 9 |
| 720d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly2 fills | Kamala wins 270-268 - MI, PA, WI | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $5,209 | −$507 −9.7% | — |
| 720d | BakktIsLive | Kamala wins 270-268 - MI, PA, WI | SellYes8¢ → 0¢ | $1,894 | +$1,894 +100% | — |
| 720d | Naropoly | Kamala wins 270-268 - MI, PA, WI | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,332 | +$168 +13% | 6 |
| 721d | KevinFinnerty17 fills | Kamala wins 270-268 - MI, PA, WI | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $107,340 | +$6,533 +6.1% | 4 |
| 721d | Green2 fills | Kamala wins 270-268 - MI, PA, WI | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $3,692 | +$353 +9.5% | 5 |
| 721d | rabs2 fills | Kamala wins 270-268 - MI, PA, WI | BuyYes9¢ → 0¢ | $10,109 | −$10,109 −100% | 24 |
| 722d | monjkhkh | Kamala wins 270-268 - MI, PA, WI | BuyYes9¢ → 0¢ | $1,781 | −$1,781 −100% | 10 |
| 723d | eerooftime2 fills | Kamala wins 270-268 - MI, PA, WI | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $32,441 | +$2,898 +8.9% | 5 |
| 723d | redskinrick | Kamala wins 270-268 - MI, PA, WI | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $2,477 | +$221 +8.9% | 5 |
| 723d | ... | Kamala wins 270-268 - MI, PA, WI | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $9,180 | +$820 +8.9% | 5 |
| 723d | BakktIsLive | Kamala wins 270-268 - MI, PA, WI | BuyYes10¢ → 0¢ | $1,200 | −$1,200 −100% | 7 |
| 723d | Likable-Sail | Kamala wins 270-268 - MI, PA, WI | BuyYes8¢ → 0¢ | $1,049 | −$1,049 −100% | 6 |
| 723d |  truthteller | Kamala wins 270-268 - MI, PA, WI | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $4,605 | −$395 −8.6% | — |
| 723d | ASOEMFE | Kamala wins 270-268 - MI, PA, WI | BuyYes7¢ → 0¢ | $2,220 | −$2,220 −100% | 12 |
| 724d | Nowhere-Man | Kamala wins 270-268 - MI, PA, WI | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,447 | −$83 −5.7% | — |
| 724d | KevinFinnerty2 fills | Kamala wins 270-268 - MI, PA, WI | SellYes5¢ → 0¢ | $6,118 | +$6,118 +100% | — |
| 724d |  Apsalar | Kamala wins 270-268 - MI, PA, WI | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,820 | −$180 −9.9% | — |
| 724d |  occasionalAwareness6 fills | Kamala wins 270-268 - MI, PA, WI | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $71,938 | +$10,557 +15% | 5 |
| 724d | adrus | Kamala wins 270-268 - MI, PA, WI | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $3,440 | +$560 +16% | 5 |
| 724d | KevinFinnerty | Kamala wins 270-268 - MI, PA, WI | BuyYes14¢ → 0¢ | $8,428 | −$8,428 −100% | 21 |
Note: This market is about Kamala Harris winning with exactly 270 electoral votes, with this specific configuration: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/kamala+270.png. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris secures exactly 270 electoral votes in the 2024 United States Presidential Election by winning the following states and districts: California (54), Colorado (10), Connecticut (7), Delaware (3), District of Columbia (3), Hawaii (4), Illinois (19), Maine (3 out of 4 electoral votes, including the 1st Congressional District and the At-Large vote), Maryland (10), Massachusetts (11), Michigan (15), Minnesota (10), Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District (1), New Hampshire (4), New Jersey (14), New Mexico (5), New York (28), Oregon (8), Pennsylvania (19), Rhode Island (4), Vermont (3), Virginia (13), Washington (12), and Wisconsin (10). If Kamala Harris does not win exactly these states and districts, thereby securing exactly 270 electoral votes, this market will resolve to "No." For purposes of this market, a candidate will be considered to have won all electoral votes from a territory if they win the plurality of the votes. Faithless electors will not be considered. The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting (including AP, NBC, Fox) on the final electoral college tally based on which territories each candidate wins.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.