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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 200-249 | 100% | +8 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <200 | 0% | −7 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 250-299 | 0% | −5 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 300-349 | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 350-399 | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 400-449 | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 450-499 | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 500-549 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 550-599 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 600-649 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 650-699 | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 700+ | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 617d | 200-249 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,760 | +$6 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 617d | 200-249 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,781 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 617d | highest2 | 200-249 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,072 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 617d | 200-249 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,811 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 617d | iamgone | 200-249 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,996 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 617d | 200-249 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 617d | 11429y7etb2 fills | 200-249 | BuyYes>99¢ | $11,368 | +$11 +0.1% | 20 |
| 617d | 200-249 | BuyYes>99¢ | $14,819 | +$15 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 617d | metapotato2 fills | 200-249 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $6,413 | +$51 +0.8% | 20 |
| 617d | MashedPotato | 200-249 | BuyYes>99¢ | $23,660 | +$24 +0.1% | 20 |
| 617d | 200-249 | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,125 | +$9 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 617d | 200-249 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,639 | +$9 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 617d | 0rocky007 | 200-249 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,264 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 617d | mrazish | 700+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,830 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 617d | cuta | 700+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,048 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 617d | Monster24 | 200-249 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,382 | +$8 +0.6% | 20 |
| 617d | Monster24 | 250-299 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,833 | +$10 +0.6% | 20 |
| 617d | Mr.Fujin | 200-249 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,804 | +$60 +2.2% | 21 |
| 618d | 700+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,656 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 618d | 200-249 | SellYes68¢ → 100¢ | $3,543 | −$1,658 −47% | — | |
| 619d | 250-299 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,030 | +$16 +1.5% | 20 | |
| 619d | 700+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,193 | +$10 +0.3% | 20 | |
| 620d | 200-249 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,090 | +$110 +5.3% | 20 | |
| 620d | 700+ | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,509 | −$19 −1.2% | — | |
| 620d | vainglorious87 | 200-249 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,368 | +$127 +5.4% | 20 |
| 621d | 200-249 | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $1,337 | +$200 +15% | 21 | |
| 621d | rtxhjtryujiryt | 200-249 | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $1,615 | +$285 +18% | 21 |
| 621d | YasH | 200-249 | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $1,004 | +$150 +15% | 21 |
| 621d | 200-249 | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $3,500 | +$524 +15% | 21 | |
| 621d | 200-249 | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $2,640 | +$360 +14% | 21 | |
| 621d | <200 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,504 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 622d | <200 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,715 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 622d | <200 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,284 | +$11 +0.8% | 20 | |
| 622d | astromage | <200 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,465 | +$15 +1.0% | 20 |
| 622d | <200 | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,370 | +$135 +9.9% | 21 | |
| 622d | <200 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,005 | +$55 +5.5% | 20 |
This market will resolve according to the number of times Ye (@kanyewest) posts on X between February 8, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and February 14, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 200-249 means the market gives it about 100%.