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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +22 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 815d | Kari Lake wins Arizona Senate Primary? | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $13,651 | +$866 +6.3% | 10 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kari Lake wins the Republican Primary for the United States Senator from Arizona in the 2024 US general election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Arizona Republican Primary, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.