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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 164d |  debased | Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15? | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,096 | +$4 +0.1% | 10 |
| 164d | tphhh | Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15? | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,307 | +$3 +0.1% | 10 |
| 164d | QMG-MACRO2 fills | Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15? | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,326 | +$10 +0.2% | 10 |
| 166d | 0xb55c6dc1dafc7c30f48d617252ee75bcc5c540a3 | Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15? | SellNo>99¢ | $5,674 | −$12 −0.2% | — |
| 179d | 55BURGERS55FRIES55TACOS55PIES55COKES100 | Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,998 | −$35 −0.9% | — |
| 189d |  elmcap23 fills | Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $5,619 | +$162 +2.9% | 10 |
| 224d | 0xb55c6dc1dafc7c30f48d617252ee75bcc5c540a3 | Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $4,366 | +$182 +4.2% | 10 |
aelhara4,917 shares
RiskyyLemon2,124 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Kevin Warsh’s nomination as Chair of the Federal Reserve is withdrawn by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Formal withdrawal of Warsh’s nomination as Chair of the Federal Reserve is required for a “Yes” resolution. Rejection of Warsh’s nomination by the United States Senate will not count. If Kevin Warsh is formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by the Senate, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. If Warsh's nomination remains pending in the Senate through May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Kevin Warsh, the Trump Administration, and the United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.