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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $200M | 0% | −6 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| $150M | 100% | +45 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | — |
| $250M | 0% | −2 pts | −30 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 69d |
| $500M | 0% | 0 pts | −11 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 69d |
| $100M | 100% | +6 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | — |
| $50M | 100% | +1 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | — |
| $2B | 0% | — | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 69d |
| $1B | 0% | 0 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 69d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 329d |  0xsanji | $2B | SellNo>99¢ | $9,969 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 329d | choppitychop | $200M | SellNo>99¢ | $1,151 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 329d |  BoringPunter9 fills | $200M | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $168,931 | +$2,564 +1.5% | 2 |
| 329d | Biglens | $1B | SellNo>99¢ | $1,508 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 329d | 99c | $500M | SellNo>99¢ | $2,008 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 329d |  Allinnothing3 fills | $150M | BuyYes>99¢ | $30,846 | +$52 +0.2% | 2 |
| 329d | Bat-man | $200M | SellNo>99¢ | $1,182 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 329d | cnerwuiva | $500M | SellNo>99¢ | $4,093 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 329d | uhhh | $150M | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,533 | −$15 −0.9% | — |
| 329d | LBZone | $150M | BuyYes>99¢ | $14,970 | +$30 +0.2% | 2 |
| 329d | BoringPunter3 fills | $250M | BuyNo>99¢ | $39,609 | +$40 +0.1% | 2 |
| 329d | ChuroChad | $50M | SellYes>99¢ | $1,219 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 329d |  JJo | $500M | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,557 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 329d | lknxt95 | $150M | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,881 | +$19 +1.0% | 2 |
| 329d | szotyimarci | $250M | SellNo>99¢ | $1,143 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 329d | deepmouse | $100M | SellYes>99¢ | $3,772 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 329d | availfail | $100M | SellYes>99¢ | $1,074 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 329d |  topsignal777 | $200M | SellNo>99¢ | $1,337 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 329d |  voki9 | $250M | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,089 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 329d |  0xvelka | $250M | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,003 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 329d | lejcles | $500M | SellNo>99¢ | $7,270 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 329d | lejcles | $200M | SellNo>99¢ | $9,152 | −$17 −0.2% | — |
| 329d | morganfreeman228 | $250M | SellNo>99¢ | $1,730 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 329d | morganfreeman228 | $150M | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $6,403 | −$104 −1.6% | — |
| 329d | MatrixMember | $150M | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $8,155 | −$82 −1.0% | — |
| 329d | Matelleti | $200M | SellNo>99¢ | $1,051 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 329d | cufitax5 fills | $150M | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $18,168 | +$1,253 +6.9% | 2 |
| 329d | Pakost2 fills | $150M | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $12,766 | −$241 −1.9% | — |
| 329d |  NZProphet | $250M | SellNo>99¢ | $2,221 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 329d | NZProphet | $200M | SellNo>99¢ | $2,239 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 329d |  Noixaref | $150M | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,259 | +$23 +1.0% | 2 |
| 329d |  NotSoEasyMoney | $150M | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,475 | −$25 −1.0% | — |
| 329d | BoringPunter | $200M | SellNo>99¢ | $199,800 | −$200 −0.1% | — |
| 329d | Atn | $150M | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $14,742 | −$149 −1.0% | — |
| 329d | noneaa | $500M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,583 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 329d |  GobiDesertCanoePro | $150M | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $18,141 | +$561 +3.1% | 2 |
| 329d | Ripe-DartNew account | $150M | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $16,412 | −$788 −4.8% | — |
| 329d | longlivebtc | $150M | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $10,919 | −$575 −5.3% | — |
| 329d | siendo | $150M | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,764 | +$55 +3.1% | 2 |
| 329d | hazardfree | $150M | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $7,500 | +$232 +3.1% | 2 |
| 329d |  wShokuPan | $200M | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,185 | +$18 +1.5% | 2 |
| 329d | Matelleti2 fills | $150M | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$103 +2.6% | 2 |
| 329d |  aaa6 | $150M | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,063 | +$22 +2.0% | 2 |
| 329d | checkdadata3 fills | $150M | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $42,166 | +$2,939 +7.0% | 2 |
| 329d | Hpp3 | $200M | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$17 +1.5% | 2 |
| 329d | fnkk2 fills | $150M | SellYes71¢ → 100¢ | $6,232 | −$2,555 −41% | — |
| 329d | dgskn | $200M | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,478 | +$23 +1.5% | 2 |
| 329d | XVFlow | $200M | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $16,903 | +$257 +1.5% | 2 |
| 329d | seizethedayy | $150M | SellNo8¢ → 0¢ | $1,021 | +$1,021 +100% | — |
| 329d |  sladky | $150M | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$174 +8.7% | 2 |
| 329d | ABonhl | $150M | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $4,141 | +$360 +8.7% | 2 |
| 329d | nik1ta | $150M | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $25,206 | +$2,801 +11% | 2 |
| 329d | seizethedayy | $150M | BuyNo38¢ → 0¢ | $4,848 | −$4,848 −100% | 6 |
| 329d | xKnait | $150M | SellYes80¢ → 100¢ | $1,727 | −$432 −25% | — |
| 329d | uhhh | $150M | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,393 | +$155 +11% | 2 |
| 329d | 0xcrag | $150M | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $3,600 | +$400 +11% | 2 |
| 329d |  QianlongJr | $150M | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,464 | +$163 +11% | 2 |
| 329d | Aen4 fills | $150M | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $36,244 | +$5,182 +14% | 2 |
| 329d | fnkk | $150M | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $6,908 | +$942 +14% | 2 |
| 329d | NotSoEasyMoney | $150M | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $2,200 | +$300 +14% | 2 |
fakiro10,000 shares
zolli6,000 shares
CryptoDavy2,998 shares
leotionrek2,000 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Kinetiq's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Kinetiq (http://kinetiq.xyz/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for $200M means the market gives it about 0%.