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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Barcelona | 60% | −1 pts | −4 pts | 59¢ · 60¢ (1¢) | $28.6K | in 1d |
| Real Madrid CF | 25% | — | +4 pts | 24¢ · 25¢ (1¢) | $78.3K | in 1d |
| Draw (FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF) | 16% | — | −1 pts | 15¢ · 16¢ (1¢) | $72.1K | in 1d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m | 0x765e…36dd | Real Madrid CF | BuyYes25¢ | $6,560 | −$131 −2.0% | 16 |
| 12m | 0x765e…36dd | Draw (FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF) | BuyYes16¢ | $6,570 | −$205 −3.1% | 16 |
| 1h | despacito2024 | FC Barcelona | BuyYes60¢ | $7,876 | −$66 −0.8% | 29 |
| 14h | GoalLineGhost | Real Madrid CF | BuyNo75¢ → 76¢ | $1,134 | +$8 +0.7% | 9 |
| 17h | 0x5eff…ae942 fills | Real Madrid CF | BuyYes23¢ → 25¢ | $2,409 | +$138 +5.7% | 8 |
| 19h | soft.st | Real Madrid CF | BuyNo76¢ | $1,444 | −$10 −0.7% | 9 |
| 19h | shark1422 fills | Real Madrid CF | BuyNo75¢ → 76¢ | $9,403 | +$63 +0.7% | 14 |
| 21h | kunkun168 | Draw (FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF) | BuyYes16¢ | $1,940 | −$61 −3.1% | 11 |
| 1d | TrippleEX | FC Barcelona | BuyYes60¢ | $6,000 | −$50 −0.8% | 26 |
| 1d | Cannae | Real Madrid CF | BuyNo75¢ → 76¢ | $3,771 | +$25 +0.7% | 11 |
| 1d | dv-pm | Real Madrid CF | BuyNo75¢ → 76¢ | $1,425 | +$10 +0.7% | 9 |
| 1d | tnl | Real Madrid CF | BuyNo75¢ → 76¢ | $1,322 | +$9 +0.7% | 9 |
| 1d | 0xb34c…449c | Real Madrid CF | BuyYes26¢ → 25¢ | $1,040 | −$60 −5.8% | 10 |
| 2d | Real Madrid CF | BuyYes26¢ → 25¢ | $2,409 | −$132 −5.5% | 8 | |
| 2d | Scientific-Pardon | FC Barcelona | BuyYes60¢ | $1,500 | −$13 −0.8% | 10 |
| 4d | Wise-Phenotype | Real Madrid CF | BuyYes24¢ → 25¢ | $1,080 | +$23 +2.1% | 7 |
| 4d | Gaditima3 fills | FC Barcelona | BuyYes64¢ → 60¢ | $3,656 | −$254 −7.0% | 16 |
| 5d | FC Barcelona | BuyYes64¢ → 60¢ | $4,869 | −$365 −7.5% | 20 | |
| 6d | Flaznorp | FC Barcelona | BuyYes65¢ → 60¢ | $1,062 | −$90 −8.5% | 7 |
| 6d | yekaza123 | FC Barcelona | SellYes63¢ → 60¢ | $1,828 | +$102 +5.6% | — |
| 9d | mre23main | FC Barcelona | BuyYes67¢ → 60¢ | $2,000 | −$225 −11% | 10 |
This event is for the upcoming La Liga game, scheduled for Sunday, October 25, 2026 between FC Barcelona and Real Madrid CF.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 60¢ for FC Barcelona means the market gives it about 60%.