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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club | 47% | −1 pts | −7 pts | 40¢ · 53¢ (13¢) | $134 | ended |
| Draw (Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club) | 37% | −6 pts | −13 pts | 31¢ · 42¢ (11¢) | $663 | ended |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 33% | +1 pts | +3 pts | 28¢ · 37¢ (9¢) | $39.7 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11d | Substantial-Service | Athletic Club | BuyNo60¢ → 53¢ | $8,248 | −$894 −11% | 24 |
| 12d | Athletic Club | SellNo61¢ → 53¢ | $5,475 | +$673 +12% | — | |
| 12d | Brian88888 | Athletic Club | BuyYes39¢ → 47¢ | $1,000 | +$192 +19% | 24 |
| 12d | dips. | Athletic Club | SellNo61¢ → 53¢ | $6,750 | +$830 +12% | — |
| 13d | wazzzzzap | Athletic Club | BuyNo61¢ → 53¢ | $6,099 | −$750 −12% | 24 |
| 13d | Weebay | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | SellNo70¢ → 68¢ | $1,430 | +$58 +4.1% | — |
| 13d | bgpowerx11 | Athletic Club | SellNo58¢ → 53¢ | $2,334 | +$194 +8.3% | — |
| 13d | Weebay | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | BuyNo69¢ → 68¢ | $1,402 | −$30 −2.2% | 24 |
| 13d | Flaznorp | Athletic Club | BuyYes36¢ → 47¢ | $6,202 | +$1,809 +29% | 24 |
| 13d | Flaznorp | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | BuyNo68¢ | $12,016 | −$88 −0.7% | 24 |
| 13d | UpTheBlues | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | BuyNo65¢ → 68¢ | $2,003 | +$77 +3.8% | 24 |
| 13d | UpTheBlues5 fills | Athletic Club | BuyNo61¢ → 53¢ | $13,485 | −$1,624 −12% | 34 |
| 13d | TSFSYD | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | BuyNo69¢ → 68¢ | $1,089 | −$24 −2.2% | 24 |
| 13d | MinevaJ | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | BuyNo58¢ → 68¢ | $1,990 | +$311 +16% | 24 |
| 13d | spyGoodLuck77 | Athletic Club | BuyNo69¢ → 53¢ | $1,500 | −$337 −22% | 24 |
| 13d | spyGoodLuck77 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | BuyYes41¢ → 33¢ | $1,500 | −$311 −21% | 24 |
| 13d | UpTheBlues | Draw (Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club) | BuyYes30¢ → 37¢ | $2,648 | +$574 +22% | 24 |
| 13d | totoro3miyazaki9 fills | Athletic Club | BuyYes39¢ → 47¢ | $141,178 | +$28,964 +21% | 34 |
| 13d | marchettamaker | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | BuyYes32¢ → 33¢ | $1,247 | +$19 +1.6% | 24 |
| 13d | 0xd4aa6f8e91cfea29b66a48ebff528144 fills | Athletic Club | BuyNo61¢ → 53¢ | $45,568 | −$5,925 −13% | 34 |
| 13d | Athletic Club | BuyNo61¢ → 53¢ | $15,250 | −$1,875 −12% | 34 | |
| 13d | Substantial-Service | Athletic Club | BuyYes39¢ → 47¢ | $10,349 | +$1,990 +19% | 34 |
| 13d | GoalLineGhost | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | BuyNo68¢ | $2,311 | −$17 −0.7% | 34 |
| 13d | Athletic Club | BuyNo61¢ → 53¢ | $3,623 | −$446 −12% | 34 | |
| 13d | GoalLineGhost | Athletic Club | BuyNo61¢ → 53¢ | $2,080 | −$256 −12% | 34 |
| 13d | Athletic Club | BuyNo61¢ → 53¢ | $5,628 | −$692 −12% | 34 | |
| 13d | Kch-Temp | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | BuyNo67¢ → 68¢ | $63,936 | +$477 +0.7% | 34 |
| 13d | 1l2ihj34li12u34 | Athletic Club | BuyYes37¢ → 47¢ | $17,465 | +$4,484 +26% | 34 |
This event is for the upcoming La Liga game, scheduled for Saturday, October 10, 2026 between Rayo Vallecano de Madrid and Athletic Club.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 47¢ for Athletic Club means the market gives it about 47%.