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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | 0 pts | +2 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 324d | anciano2 fills | Larger Margin of Victory: Virginia or New Jersey Governor? | BuyVirginia>99¢ | $5,841 | +$14 +0.2% | 10 |
| 354d |  Strider-1 | Larger Margin of Victory: Virginia or New Jersey Governor? | BuyVirginia92¢ → 100¢ | $2,897 | +$252 +8.7% | 13 |
TheRedChip4,380 shares
1999kid514 shares
TimeTraveler484 shares
RB-79K_BALL100 sharesThis market will resolve to "Virginia" if the Democratic candidate’s margin of victory in the 2025 Virginia Governor election is greater than the Democratic candidate’s margin of victory in the 2025 New Jersey Governor election. This market will resolve to "New Jersey" if the Democratic candidate’s margin of victory in the 2025 New Jersey election is greater than the Democratic candidate’s margin of victory in the 2025 Virginia Governor election. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the difference in percentage points between the Democratic and Republican candidates’ final vote shares in the respective election. If the margin of victory is identical or if results of either election are not confirmed by July 31, 2026, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to the official election authority responsible for conducting the election in each state.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.