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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Microsoft | 100% | +1 pts | +25 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Apple | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Amazon | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| NVIDIA | 0% | 0 pts | −24 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended | |
| Other | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 510d | MAGA.MUSK | Microsoft | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,033 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 510d | Vali82 | Microsoft | SellYes>99¢ | $1,935 | −$8 −0.4% | — |
| 511d | javierjavier | Microsoft | SellYes>99¢ | $1,660 | −$7 −0.4% | — |
| 511d | Microsoft | SellYes>99¢ | $4,295 | −$10 −0.2% | — | |
| 511d | Bobaryn | Microsoft | SellYes>99¢ | $2,495 | −$5 −0.2% | — |
| 511d | MyNameIsDarkKnight3 fills | Microsoft | BuyYes>99¢ | $14,048 | +$15 +0.1% | 4 |
| 511d | TukekePinto | Microsoft | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,543 | −$18 −1.1% | — |
| 511d | xxx1111112 fills | Microsoft | BuyYes100¢ | $4,047 | +$20 +0.5% | 4 |
| 511d | Bobaryn | Microsoft | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,487 | +$13 +0.5% | 4 |
| 511d | Valrus | Microsoft | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,401 | −$8 −0.6% | — |
| 511d | Frauohm | Microsoft | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,047 | −$6 −0.6% | — |
| 511d | Microsoft | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,747 | −$42 −1.5% | — | |
| 511d | Microsoft | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,891 | +$16 +0.6% | 4 | |
| 511d | NVIDIA | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,568 | +$60 +2.3% | 4 | |
| 511d | javierjavier | Microsoft | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,599 | +$68 +4.2% | 5 |
| 511d | Microsoft | BuyYes79¢ → 100¢ | $1,822 | +$484 +27% | 10 | |
| 511d | Microsoft | BuyYes76¢ → 100¢ | $2,288 | +$723 +32% | 10 | |
| 511d | Apple | SellNo>99¢ | $2,220 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 512d | Warmhearted-Disk | NVIDIA | BuyYes29¢ → 0¢ | $1,046 | −$1,046 −100% | 9 |
| 512d | Microsoft | BuyYes75¢ → 100¢ | $5,521 | +$1,809 +33% | 4 | |
| 512d | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,390 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 | ||
| 512d | Other | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,390 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 512d | Mama-Omida | NVIDIA | BuyYes65¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 9 |
| 512d | RexRegum | NVIDIA | BuyNo38¢ → 100¢ | $2,932 | +$4,749 +162% | 11 |
| 512d | NVIDIA | SellYes64¢ → 0¢ | $3,718 | +$3,718 +100% | — | |
| 512d | Valrus | NVIDIA | BuyYes74¢ → 0¢ | $1,070 | −$1,070 −100% | 8 |
| 512d | RexRegum3 fills | NVIDIA | SellYes56¢ → 0¢ | $7,351 | +$7,351 +100% | — |
| 513d | Showbaer-712 | Microsoft | BuyYes36¢ → 100¢ | $1,077 | +$1,923 +178% | 9 |
| 513d | antonmihai | NVIDIA | BuyYes66¢ → 0¢ | $1,400 | −$1,400 −100% | 9 |
| 513d | NVIDIA | SellNo50¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | −$2,040 −102% | — | |
| 513d | Logan. | NVIDIA | BuyYes46¢ → 0¢ | $1,110 | −$1,110 −100% | 9 |
| 513d | Showbaer-7122 fills | NVIDIA | BuyYes38¢ → 0¢ | $3,822 | −$3,822 −100% | 12 |
| 513d | RexRegum | NVIDIA | BuyYes38¢ → 0¢ | $1,322 | −$1,322 −100% | 10 |
| 513d | Microsoft | SellYes69¢ → 100¢ | $1,041 | −$463 −44% | — | |
| 513d | Microsoft | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $1,031 | +$177 +17% | 6 | |
| 513d | NVIDIA | BuyNo75¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$678 +34% | 6 | |
| 514d | 025d3 fills | NVIDIA | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $5,372 | +$1,086 +20% | 4 |
| 514d | 025d | Microsoft | BuyYes68¢ → 100¢ | $1,115 | +$525 +47% | 6 |
| 514d | 854A7843 | Apple | SellNo>99¢ | $2,350 | −$6 −0.2% | — |
| 514d | RexRegum | Microsoft | BuyYes63¢ → 100¢ | $1,331 | +$782 +59% | 6 |
| 515d | cigarettes | Apple | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,269 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 516d | Justin007 | NVIDIA | BuyYes67¢ → 0¢ | $1,138 | −$1,138 −100% | 6 |
| 516d | Justin007 | Microsoft | SellYes49¢ → 100¢ | $1,138 | −$1,162 −102% | — |
| 516d | NVIDIA | BuyYes64¢ → 0¢ | $6,501 | −$6,501 −100% | 6 | |
| 516d | Microsoft | SellYes58¢ → 100¢ | $1,649 | −$1,209 −73% | — | |
| 517d | LBZone | SellNo>99¢ | $1,947 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 518d | Microsoft | SellYes71¢ → 100¢ | $1,067 | −$436 −41% | — | |
| 518d | Juju88 | Microsoft | SellYes74¢ → 100¢ | $1,054 | −$378 −36% | — |
| 519d | LuanX | SellNo>99¢ | $1,489 | −$1 −0.1% | — | |
| 519d | 854A7843 | Apple | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,079 | +$9 +0.8% | 4 |
| 519d | Apple | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,021 | +$4 +0.4% | 4 | |
| 519d | Mama-Omida | Microsoft | SellYes70¢ → 100¢ | $1,080 | −$458 −42% | — |
| 519d | Juju88 | Microsoft | BuyYes75¢ → 100¢ | $1,072 | +$360 +34% | 4 |
| 522d | bc1234 | Microsoft | BuyYes71¢ → 100¢ | $1,930 | +$777 +40% | 4 |
| 523d | urbane | SellNo>99¢ | $1,009 | −$1 −0.1% | — | |
| 523d | Ryxen | Microsoft | SellNo44¢ → 0¢ | $13,435 | +$13,435 +100% | — |
| 523d | Hurneth | Microsoft | BuyYes56¢ → 100¢ | $17,123 | +$13,453 +79% | 4 |
| 524d | Microsoft | BuyYes57¢ → 100¢ | $1,377 | +$1,039 +75% | 4 | |
| 524d | urbane | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,009 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 524d | jameston | SellNo>99¢ | $1,078 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30, 2025, as of market close. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Microsoft means the market gives it about 100%.