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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona | 100% | +19 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Wisconsin | 0% | −6 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Nevada | 0% | −18 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Pennsylvania | 0% | −24 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Michigan | 0% | −3 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| New Hampshire | 0% | −3 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| North Carolina | 0% | −2 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Minnesota | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Georgia | 0% | −5 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Virginia | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Florida | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| New Mexico | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Alaska | 0% | −18 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Maine | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Colorado | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 714d |  LBZcapital | Arizona | BuyYes>99¢ | $13,102 | +$13 +0.1% | 10 |
| 714d | LBZcapital | Other | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,792 | +$7 +0.1% | 10 |
| 714d | longtern | Nevada | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,503 | +$5 +0.1% | 10 |
| 714d |  Anon1792681 | Nevada | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,895 | +$9 +0.1% | 10 |
| 714d | Anon1792681 | Other | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,603 | +$7 +0.2% | 10 |
| 714d |  Cincinnatus17 | Arizona | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,097 | +$12 +0.4% | 10 |
| 716d |  UncleSmurf2 fills | Alaska | BuyNo>99¢ | $42,458 | +$43 +0.1% | 10 |
| 716d |  AgricultureSecretary | Alaska | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $9,796 | +$99 +1.0% | 10 |
| 716d | Trump2032-3652 fills | Maine | BuyNo>99¢ | $20,300 | +$23 +0.1% | 10 |
| 716d | The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA | Michigan | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,591 | +$9 +0.1% | 10 |
| 716d | LBZcapital | New Mexico | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,944 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 716d | LBZcapital | Virginia | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,252 | +$4 +0.1% | 10 |
| 717d | AgricultureSecretary | North Carolina | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,917 | +$19 +1.0% | 10 |
| 717d |  noreasapa | North Carolina | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,687 | +$38 +1.0% | 10 |
| 728d |  scottilicious | Alaska | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $3,323 | +$858 +26% | 10 |
This is a market on predicting which U.S. state will be the last to be called in the upcoming presidential election.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Arizona means the market gives it about 100%.