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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30min+ | 100% | +28 pts | +65 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <15min | 0% | −4 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 15-20min | 0% | −20 pts | −42 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 20-25min | 0% | −6 pts | −22 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 25-30min | 0% | −12 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 433d | gamgl3 | 30min+ | SellYes>99¢ | $3,790 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 434d |  noreasapa | 25-30min | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,865 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 434d | noreasapa | <15min | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,951 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 434d | noreasapa | 30min+ | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,011 | +$20 +1.0% | 4 |
| 434d | 0x602c…1a14 | 30min+ | BuyYes82¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$338 +23% | 4 |
| 436d |  Pestle | 30min+ | BuyNo38¢ → 0¢ | $1,004 | −$1,004 −100% | 4 |
This market will resolve according to the length of the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast. If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported length falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is MrBeast’s YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the displayed video duration for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast’s next YouTube video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 30min+ means the market gives it about 100%.