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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS Saint-Etienne | 0% | −36 pts | −40 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| FC Annecy | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Le Mans FC | 100% | 0 pts | +36 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Rodez AF | 0% | −14 pts | −13 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Red Star FC | 0% | −1 pts | −11 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Montpellier HSC | 0% | −3 pts | −47 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Stade de Reims | 0% | −8 pts | −11 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| AS Nancy Lorraine | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Clermont Foot 63 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| USL Dunkerque | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Grenoble Foot 38 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Stade Lavallois | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| SC Bastia | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| EA Guingamp | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ESTAC Troyes | 100% | +26 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Amiens SC | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| US Boulogne | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Pau FC | 0% | −42 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 147d |  digitalnomad85 | AS Saint-Etienne | SellNo>99¢ | $2,298 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 147d | Hola. | AS Saint-Etienne | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,049 | −$11 −1.0% | — |
| 161d |  MiLive | AS Saint-Etienne | SellYes50¢ → 0¢ | $1,250 | +$1,250 +100% | — |
| 161d | MiLive2 fills | AS Saint-Etienne | BuyYes81¢ → 0¢ | $6,137 | −$6,137 −100% | 4 |
| 165d | TypeShi | AS Saint-Etienne | BuyNo63¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$690 +58% | 4 |
| 167d | FlyingPlaty | FC Annecy | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,590 | +$11 +0.1% | 4 |
| 167d | Palace8709 | Le Mans FC | BuyYes64¢ → 100¢ | $1,525 | +$840 +55% | 4 |
FTX2.01,200 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed team achieves promotion from the French Ligue 2 to Ligue 1 for the 2026–27 season at the conclusion of the current league season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Official promotion is defined as a team clinching a place in Ligue 1 for the 2026–27 season through their final standing in the Ligue 2, via playoff victory, or by any other official league decision recognized by the Ligue 1 and Ligue 2. If the 2025-26 Ligue 2 season is cancelled, postponed after June 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for promotion within that timeframe, the corresponding market will “No”. The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Ligue 1 and Ligue 2. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for AS Saint-Etienne means the market gives it about 0%.