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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| >500k | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| >700k | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| >1m | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 298d |  whot2 fills | >1m | SellNo>99¢ | $3,872 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 298d | whot | >700k | SellNo>99¢ | $2,983 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 298d |  llzl9d9ujfurhuer32 fills | >500k | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,441 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 298d | Eragon01 | >700k | SellNo>99¢ | $1,820 | −$5 −0.3% | — |
| 298d | haeju | >700k | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,403 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 298d | haeju | >500k | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,518 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 298d |  bamesjond | >700k | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,407 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 298d | Snoorrason | >1m | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,358 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 298d | bamesjond | >500k | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,815 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 298d |  JaidenAnimations | >700k | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,705 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 298d | ngggrah | >500k | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,900 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 298d | ngggrah2 fills | >1m | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,761 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 298d | Better-Believer | >500k | BuyYes75¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$500 +33% | 7 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the final sale price paid for the Pokemon Base Set 1st Edition Holo #4 Charizard - Logan Paul Break is greater than the listed price. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". If no sale is completed by February 28, 2026, ET this market will resolve to "No". The market will resolve according to the final listed sale price including any premiums or auction fees included in the listed figure on Goldin (see: https://goldin.co/item/1999-pokemon-base-set-1st-edition-rare-holofoil-logan-paul-break-4-chajdvc5).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for >500k means the market gives it about 100%.