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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+1.5) | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1? | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 35.5 in Game 1? | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 37.5 in Game 1? | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 2? | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 31.5 in Game 2? | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Match Winner | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Game 1 Winner | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Game 2 Winner | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Game 3 Winner | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Game 4 Winner | 50% | — | — | 50¢ · 51¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 3.5 Games | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 4.5 Games | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Game Handicap: BFX (-2.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+2.5) | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 32.5 in Game 2? | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| First Blood in Game 1? | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| First Blood in Game 3? | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 1? | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 31.5 in Game 1? | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 32.5 in Game 1? | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| First Blood in Game 2? | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 4? | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 31.5 in Game 4? | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 31.5 in Game 3? | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 2? | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 5? | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3? | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 5? | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 3? | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 32.5 in Game 4? | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 32.5 in Game 5? | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| First Blood in Game 4? | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| First Blood in Game 5? | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 5? | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 4? | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4? | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 32.5 in Game 3? | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 31.5 in Game 5? | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 3? | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% | — | — | 50¢ · 51¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1? | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4? | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 4? | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 3? | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3? | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 2? | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1? | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1? | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1? | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1? | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 34.5 in Game 1? | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 38.5 in Game 1? | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 41.5 in Game 1? | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 43.5 in Game 1? | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 1? | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 1? | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 1? | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 44.5 in Game 1? | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 49.5 in Game 1? | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 48.5 in Game 1? | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 47.5 in Game 1? | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 46.5 in Game 1? | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1? | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2? | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 2? | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 34.5 in Game 2? | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 35.5 in Game 2? | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 2? | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 41.5 in Game 2? | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 2? | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 38.5 in Game 2? | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 37.5 in Game 2? | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 2? | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 43.5 in Game 2? | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 46.5 in Game 2? | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 44.5 in Game 2? | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2? | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 48.5 in Game 2? | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 49.5 in Game 2? | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 47.5 in Game 2? | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3? | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 34.5 in Game 3? | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 35.5 in Game 3? | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 3? | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 3? | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 38.5 in Game 3? | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 37.5 in Game 3? | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 41.5 in Game 3? | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 3? | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 43.5 in Game 3? | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 3? | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 3? | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 44.5 in Game 3? | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 46.5 in Game 3? | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 219d | Official-Bower | Match Winner | SellBNK FEARX>99¢ | $3,341 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 219d | zxc368 | Total Kills Over/Under 49.5 in Game 2? | BuyUnder>99¢ | $1,003 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 219d |  lina777 | Game 3 Winner | SellBNK FEARX>99¢ | $1,347 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 219d | Pickleball-K | Match Winner | SellBNK FEARX>99¢ | $6,555 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 219d | chuu88 | Game 3 Winner | SellBNK FEARX>99¢ | $1,301 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 219d | swy014 fills | Game 3 Winner | SellBNK FEARX74¢ → 100¢ | $14,767 | −$5,096 −35% | — |
| 219d | hazethere | Game 2 Winner | SellBNK FEARX>99¢ | $1,456 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 219d | Reckless-Derivation | Game Handicap: BFX (-2.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+2.5) | SellBNK FEARX>99¢ | $4,500 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 219d | lkaufmaa | Match Winner | SellBNK FEARX>99¢ | $1,647 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 219d | shangshandalaohu | Match Winner | SellBNK FEARX>99¢ | $44,668 | −$45 −0.1% | — |
| 219d |  Boss7 | Match Winner | SellBNK FEARX>99¢ | $3,074 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 219d |  Obamnna | Game 3 Winner | SellBNK FEARX>99¢ | $1,512 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 219d | nigegegehaoshuai | Game Handicap: BFX (-2.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+2.5) | SellBNK FEARX>99¢ | $1,396 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 219d |  Mushy-Bowling | Match Winner | SellBNK FEARX>99¢ | $2,458 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 219d | goodmateng | Game 3 Winner | SellBNK FEARX>99¢ | $9,929 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 219d | Mukrochel | Match Winner | SellBNK FEARX>99¢ | $2,467 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 219d |  viktor-main | Game 3 Winner | SellBNK FEARX>99¢ | $1,498 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 219d | Shirayama | Match Winner | SellBNK FEARX>99¢ | $1,075 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 219d | freeman123 | Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+1.5) | SellBNK FEARX>99¢ | $2,508 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 219d |  lolpredict | Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+1.5) | SellBNK FEARX>99¢ | $1,712 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 219d |  hideoffbush0 | Game Handicap: BFX (-2.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+2.5) | SellBNK FEARX>99¢ | $1,540 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 219d | butyrk4 | Game 3 Winner | SellBNK FEARX>99¢ | $1,194 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 219d | MD14 | Game 3 Winner | SellBNK FEARX>99¢ | $14,592 | −$15 −0.1% | — |
| 219d | Bumpy-Urn | Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+1.5) | SellBNK FEARX>99¢ | $1,036 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 219d | slkdjkljnkngeljklj | Game 3 Winner | SellBNK FEARX>99¢ | $2,272 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 219d |  DKRusrocket | Game 3 Winner | SellBNK FEARX>99¢ | $1,008 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 219d | marsong072523 | Match Winner | SellBNK FEARX>99¢ | $2,146 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 219d | PhongYK | Match Winner | SellBNK FEARX>99¢ | $1,025 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 219d | spartachio | Game Handicap: BFX (-2.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+2.5) | SellBNK FEARX>99¢ | $3,190 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 219d | jamiepoker | O/U 3.5 Games | SellUnder>99¢ | $2,594 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 219d | Hua22 | Game Handicap: BFX (-2.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+2.5) | SellBNK FEARX>99¢ | $3,096 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 219d | Zetalias | Game 3 Winner | SellBNK FEARX>99¢ | $22,420 | −$22 −0.1% | — |
| 219d |  acm24 | Game 3 Winner | SellBNK FEARX>99¢ | $2,118 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 219d | EsportsEnjoyer | Game 3 Winner | SellBNK FEARX>99¢ | $5,499 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 219d | Gleaming-Pursuit | Game 3 Winner | SellBNK FEARX>99¢ | $1,153 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 219d | down25KOAT | O/U 3.5 Games | SellUnder>99¢ | $2,201 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 219d | buyongle11 | Game 3 Winner | SellBNK FEARX>99¢ | $1,196 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 219d | junbing | Match Winner | SellBNK FEARX>99¢ | $1,034 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 219d | Icekung | Game 3 Winner | SellBNK FEARX99¢ → 100¢ | $1,263 | −$13 −1.0% | — |
| 219d |  melonaire | O/U 3.5 Games | SellUnder99¢ → 100¢ | $1,736 | −$18 −1.0% | — |
| 219d | melonaire | Game Handicap: BFX (-2.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+2.5) | SellBNK FEARX99¢ → 100¢ | $1,487 | −$15 −1.0% | — |
| 219d |  arjennnnn | Match Winner | SellBNK FEARX>99¢ | $30,773 | −$31 −0.1% | — |
| 219d |  Malfunction. | Match Winner | BuyBNK FEARX>99¢ | $1,745 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 219d | fkigedgjdgwbg | Match Winner | BuyBNK FEARX>99¢ | $19,840 | +$36 +0.2% | 4 |
| 219d |  SKTShinyRuo | Game 3 Winner | BuyBNK FEARX99¢ → 100¢ | $12,587 | +$176 +1.4% | 4 |
| 219d | Pfme21123 fills | Game 3 Winner | BuyBNK FEARX89¢ → 100¢ | $5,616 | +$674 +12% | 8 |
| 219d | johnbaster | Game 3 Winner | BuyBNK FEARX87¢ → 100¢ | $1,068 | +$153 +14% | 8 |
| 219d | shangshandalaohu4 fills | Match Winner | BuyBNK FEARX98¢ → 100¢ | $20,896 | +$328 +1.6% | 4 |
| 219d | joey51 | Game 3 Winner | BuyBNK FEARX74¢ → 100¢ | $1,254 | +$441 +35% | 13 |
| 219d | NarutoXSasuke | Game 4 Winner | BuyBNK FEARX61¢ → 50¢ | $1,175 | −$212 −18% | 14 |
| 219d | buyongle11 | Game 3 Winner | BuyBNK FEARX79¢ → 100¢ | $1,420 | +$380 +27% | 11 |
| 219d | THEHIGHLIFE | Game 3 Winner | BuyTeam Secret Whales25¢ → 0¢ | $1,783 | −$1,783 −100% | 14 |
| 219d | J88688 | Game 3 Winner | BuyBNK FEARX73¢ → 100¢ | $2,420 | +$895 +37% | 13 |
| 219d | nsafira2 fills | Game 3 Winner | SellBNK FEARX57¢ → 100¢ | $2,578 | −$1,972 −76% | — |
| 219d | apucimama2 fills | Game 3 Winner | BuyBNK FEARX73¢ → 100¢ | $3,614 | +$1,352 +37% | 13 |
| 219d | swy015 fills | Game 3 Winner | BuyBNK FEARX85¢ → 100¢ | $11,055 | +$1,968 +18% | 9 |
| 219d | ColinHe2 fills | Game 3 Winner | BuyTeam Secret Whales29¢ → 0¢ | $3,935 | −$3,935 −100% | 14 |
| 219d | kapitan | Game 3 Winner | SellBNK FEARX73¢ → 100¢ | $1,252 | −$458 −37% | — |
| 219d | EsportsEnjoyer | Game 3 Winner | BuyBNK FEARX77¢ → 100¢ | $4,238 | +$1,266 +30% | 12 |
| 219d |  LoserArcMaxing | Game 3 Winner | SellBNK FEARX84¢ → 100¢ | $1,674 | −$326 −19% | — |
ROBBATTISTAFANDUELRETARD30,111 sharesThis market refers to the LoL Elimination match between BNK FEARX and Team Secret Whales in the First Stand Group A, initially scheduled for March 18 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "BNK FEARX" if BNK FEARX win the match against Team Secret Whales. This market will resolve to "Team Secret Whales" if Team Secret Whales win the match against BNK FEARX. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+1.5) means the market gives it about 100%.