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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
Kickstand7655 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if a judge declares a mistrial in either of Luigi Mangione's ongoing federal or state cases by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A mistrial only needs to be declared in one of Mangione's ongoing cases for this market to resolve to "Yes". If all ongoing cases as of February 25, 2025 resolve without a mistrial being declared, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be information from the ruling courts in this case, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.