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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 578d | ziggy17 | Luigi Mangione sex tape released before April? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,075 | −$25 −2.4% | — |
| 587d | ziggy17 | Luigi Mangione sex tape released before April? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,066 | +$34 +3.2% | 20 |
| 596d |  Gemini456 | Luigi Mangione sex tape released before April? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,064 | +$56 +5.3% | 20 |
| 596d | commeowder | Luigi Mangione sex tape released before April? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,420 | +$94 +6.6% | 20 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any sex tape featuring Luigi Mangione, is made public between March 4 and March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Qualifying "sex tapes" must be video footage involving sexual acts directly depicting the genitals of any individual(s) shown. The video must be authentic, not animated or AI-altered. The primary resolution source will be publicly released video, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.