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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 85-90% | 100% | +1 pts | +58 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <85% | 0% | −1 pts | −48 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 90-95% | 0% | 0 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 95%+ | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 144d |  Hot-Skull | 90-95% | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,049 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 145d | Palace8709 | <85% | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,186 | +$68 +3.1% | 10 |
Lavincey30 sharesGeneral elections are scheduled to be held in Malta on May 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Maltese general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Government of Malta, including the Electoral Commission of Malta (https://electoral.gov.mt/)
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 85-90% means the market gives it about 100%.