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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milei by >5% | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Massa by >5% | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1069d | Milei by >5% | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,199 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 | |
| 1069d | anonim | Milei by >5% | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$277 +11% | 10 |
| 1069d | lava-lava2 fills | Milei by >5% | BuyYes31¢ → 100¢ | $2,980 | +$6,620 +222% | 14 |
| 1069d | Milei by >5% | BuyNo72¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 10 | |
| 1069d | Milei by >5% | BuyNo73¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 10 | |
| 1070d | Massa by >5% | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,290 | +$210 +16% | 15 | |
| 1070d | Milei by >5% | BuyYes27¢ → 100¢ | $2,160 | +$5,840 +270% | 13 | |
| 1070d | betbetbet1234 | Milei by >5% | BuyNo74¢ → 0¢ | $1,650 | −$1,650 −100% | 10 |
| 1070d | RobXK | Milei by >5% | BuyNo73¢ → 0¢ | $3,590 | −$3,590 −100% | 10 |
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Milei by >5% means the market gives it about 100%.