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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤1 | 100% | +1 pts | +5 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 2 | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 3 | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 4 | 0% | 0 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 5 | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 355d | PainStealer | ≤1 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,993 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 355d | ≤1 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,451 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 355d | ≤1 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,175 | +$5 +0.4% | 4 | |
| 356d | ≤1 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,398 | +$18 +0.5% | 4 | |
| 359d | 4 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,320 | +$5 +0.4% | 4 |
This is a market on the strength of the storm system named Melissa when it makes landfall.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for ≤1 means the market gives it about 100%.