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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 4% | — | −1 pts | 3¢ · 5¢ (2¢) | — | in 69d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 111d |  Ryxon21 | Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by July 31? | SellNo>99¢ | $5,207 | −$10 −0.2% | — |
| 116d | Ryxon21 | Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by July 31? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $13,300 | +$274 +2.1% | 20 |
| 144d | 0xfa39…977f | Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by June 30? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,269 | +$30 +2.4% | 20 |
| 164d | Desy-1725192185234 | Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by June 30? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,166 | −$34 −2.9% | — |
Sardinianshepherd890 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Giorgia Meloni ceases to be the Prime Minister of Italy for any period of time between December 5, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Giorgia Melon's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Italy, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 4¢ for December 31 means the market gives it about 4%.