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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $500M | 100% | +10 pts | +8 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | — |
| $1B | 0% | −4 pts | −40 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $2B | 0% | 0 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $4B | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $6B | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $8B | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $10B | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $750M | 0% | −10 pts | −74 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 363d | Aromatic-Treasure | $750M | SellNo>99¢ | $5,723 | −$17 −0.3% | — |
| 363d | ex200 | $500M | SellYes>99¢ | $3,137 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 363d |  Anjun | $6B | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 363d |  h4ck-vc | $4B | SellNo>99¢ | $1,631 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 363d |  DimasXT | $750M | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,023 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 363d | h4ck-vc | $1B | SellNo>99¢ | $3,049 | −$9 −0.3% | — |
| 363d | Mean-SidestreamNew account | $750M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,201 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 363d |  hack-vc2 fills | $4B | SellNo>99¢ | $7,618 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 363d | hack-vc | $2B | SellNo>99¢ | $2,941 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 363d | hack-vc | $1B | SellNo>99¢ | $4,782 | −$14 −0.3% | — |
| 363d | Wsix | $1B | SellNo>99¢ | $14,956 | −$45 −0.3% | — |
| 363d | Grigorii | $1B | SellNo>99¢ | $4,995 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 364d | heyimhere-221 | $500M | SellYes>99¢ | $1,009 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 364d |  NONGG | $500M | SellYes>99¢ | $3,070 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 364d | Ichimoket | $2B | SellNo>99¢ | $2,950 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 364d | deepmouse | $500M | SellYes>99¢ | $1,012 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 364d |  goonielol | $1B | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $5,466 | −$182 −3.3% | — |
| 364d | Dzhanglik | $1B | SellNo>99¢ | $1,315 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 364d | SHUTYOURMOUSE | $750M | SellNo>99¢ | $7,537 | −$25 −0.3% | — |
| 364d | SHUTYOURMOUSE | $1B | SellNo>99¢ | $14,050 | −$14 −0.1% | — |
| 364d | Huhm | $2B | SellNo>99¢ | $4,680 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 364d |  arabika4 fills | $500M | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $27,615 | +$284 +1.0% | 2 |
| 364d | Clone78 | $2B | SellNo>99¢ | $1,773 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 364d | NONGG | $500M | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,961 | +$30 +1.0% | 2 |
| 364d | jeanmichmich | $750M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,329 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 364d | dejjeejjee | $750M | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,682 | +$9 +0.3% | 2 |
| 364d |  arcisdead | $750M | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,773 | +$11 +0.4% | 2 |
| 364d | florencen | $750M | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,411 | +$24 +0.7% | 2 |
| 364d |  2TE | $500M | SellYes87¢ → 100¢ | $1,953 | −$294 −15% | — |
| 364d | lavy | $750M | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,211 | +$11 +0.9% | 2 |
| 364d |  hanzthehuman | $750M | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,211 | +$11 +0.9% | 2 |
| 364d | DimasXT | $2B | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,881 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 364d |  lubomir | $500M | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,375 | +$16 +1.1% | 2 |
| 364d |  solwizzo-onX2 fills | $750M | SellNo88¢ → 100¢ | $3,073 | −$427 −14% | — |
| 364d | Yikes110 | $500M | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,510 | +$29 +1.9% | 2 |
| 364d | 2TE | $500M | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$39 +2.0% | 2 |
| 364d | Kiger-okx | $500M | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,589 | +$60 +2.3% | 2 |
| 364d | nakinas | $750M | SellNo>99¢ | $1,402 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 364d | wangxk1206 | $750M | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,206 | +$5 +0.2% | 2 |
| 364d | 49f5 | $1B | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,017 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 364d | jkgk | $2B | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,339 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 364d | vvela | $1B | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,900 | +$8 +0.2% | 2 |
| 364d | Hedgooooor3 fills | $2B | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $21,377 | −$158 −0.7% | — |
| 364d | TheGentleman | $1B | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,159 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 364d | weffa23f23qf | $1B | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,070 | −$8 −0.8% | — |
| 364d | 0xGlen | $1B | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,256 | −$33 −1.0% | — |
| 364d | namgungminsu | $500M | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,387 | +$43 +3.1% | 2 |
| 364d | matto- | $1B | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,000 | +$8 +0.2% | 2 |
| 364d |  Lakan | $2B | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,134 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 364d | Muskk | $2B | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,653 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 364d | caishendaola | $750M | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,274 | +$53 +4.2% | 2 |
| 364d |  Riskmaximized | $1B | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,286 | −$115 −2.2% | — |
| 364d | Clemclem | $1B | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,056 | −$27 −2.6% | — |
| 364d | OptionK | $1B | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,978 | +$22 +1.1% | 2 |
| 364d | lioap | $1B | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,724 | +$23 +1.3% | 2 |
| 364d | lucay | $1B | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,098 | +$14 +1.3% | 2 |
| 364d | 88888888888888888 | $2B | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,500 | +$4 +0.3% | 2 |
| 364d | Riskmaximized | $1B | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $4,708 | +$201 +4.3% | 2 |
| 364d |  prediqtor | $1B | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,977 | +$104 +5.3% | 2 |
| 364d | ChangingLife | $750M | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,039 | +$60 +5.8% | 2 |
BobTheDevourer1,396 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Meteora's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Meteora doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for $500M means the market gives it about 100%.