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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norris | 100% | +33 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Piastri | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Verstappen | 0% | −11 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Leclerc | 0% | −18 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Russell | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Hamilton | 0% | −6 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Antonelli | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Alonso | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tsunoda | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lawson | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Stroll | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Hadjar | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sainz | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Albon | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Gasly | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Bearman | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Hulkenberg | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Bortoleto | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Colapinto | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ocon | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver A | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 362d |  middleoftheocean2 fills | Verstappen | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,225 | +$15 +0.1% | 4 |
| 362d |  Bertschwert | Verstappen | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,677 | +$12 +0.1% | 4 |
| 362d | Bertschwert | Norris | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,659 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 362d | sportbetss | Norris | SellYes>99¢ | $4,640 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 362d | Black-Eagle | Leclerc | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,055 | −$9 −0.9% | — |
| 362d | KBO30 | Norris | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,159 | −$12 −1.0% | — |
| 362d | tcp2 | Norris | SellYes>99¢ | $1,838 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 362d | Dasbot1 | Verstappen | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,000 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 362d |  lmaoyouclown | Norris | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,916 | +$12 +0.3% | 4 |
| 362d |  libratus1 | Verstappen | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,901 | +$4 +0.2% | 4 |
| 362d | tcp2 | Hamilton | SellNo>99¢ | $1,174 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 362d | AJM96 | Norris | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,646 | +$37 +1.0% | 4 |
| 362d | Respectful-Ethics | Norris | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,218 | −$56 −4.6% | — |
| 362d |  scout | Verstappen | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,390 | +$47 +1.1% | 4 |
| 362d |  Simbaaaa2 fills | Verstappen | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,180 | +$55 +1.3% | 4 |
| 362d |  Galthran | Verstappen | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,042 | +$21 +1.0% | 4 |
| 362d | BubbleScale | Verstappen | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,923 | +$80 +4.2% | 4 |
| 362d |  elpir | Verstappen | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,307 | −$96 −4.2% | — |
| 362d | middleoftheocean | Hamilton | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,606 | +$14 +0.3% | 4 |
| 362d | dfsgretfewqrfew3 fills | Norris | BuyYes73¢ → 100¢ | $4,723 | +$1,727 +37% | 13 |
| 362d |  merch | Norris | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $1,612 | +$403 +25% | 4 |
| 362d | tcp22 fills | Norris | BuyYes70¢ → 100¢ | $2,800 | +$1,200 +43% | 4 |
| 362d |  peasant | Norris | BuyYes69¢ → 100¢ | $2,697 | +$1,212 +45% | 4 |
| 362d | Tobias1909 | Verstappen | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,255 | +$133 +11% | 4 |
| 362d | Jest55 | Verstappen | SellNo87¢ → 100¢ | $3,480 | −$520 −15% | — |
| 362d | MRF | Hamilton | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,080 | +$94 +8.7% | 4 |
| 362d | 0xe42e…8d893 fills | Verstappen | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $5,835 | +$723 +12% | 4 |
| 362d | 0xe42e…8d89 | Norris | BuyNo38¢ → 0¢ | $3,297 | −$3,297 −100% | 4 |
| 362d | Arid-Hurdle | Norris | BuyYes64¢ → 100¢ | $1,276 | +$724 +57% | 4 |
| 362d | middleoftheocean | Antonelli | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,369 | +$11 +0.2% | 4 |
| 362d | middleoftheocean | Hadjar | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,135 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 362d | Black-Eagle | Russell | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,028 | −$43 −4.2% | — |
| 362d |  gopfan2 | Norris | BuyYes63¢ → 100¢ | $2,003 | +$1,176 +59% | 4 |
| 362d | Jest552 fills | Verstappen | BuyNo66¢ → 100¢ | $2,303 | +$1,190 +52% | 14 |
| 362d | affs20791 | Leclerc | SellNo82¢ → 100¢ | $1,890 | −$411 −22% | — |
| 362d | affs20791 | Hamilton | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,835 | +$165 +4.3% | 4 |
| 362d | goelgang | Norris | BuyNo39¢ → 0¢ | $1,484 | −$1,484 −100% | 4 |
| 362d | 210213k120-jr210j12t563h11 | Verstappen | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,398 | +$191 +14% | 4 |
| 363d | mwenya | Hamilton | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,179 | +$79 +6.7% | 4 |
| 363d | luhret | Antonelli | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,287 | +$8 +0.4% | 4 |
| 363d | madiuk | Hadjar | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,942 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 363d | 1919119 | Norris | BuyYes69¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$905 +45% | 4 |
| 363d | 0xe42e…8d89 | Norris | BuyYes70¢ → 100¢ | $3,057 | +$1,310 +43% | 14 |
| 363d | ruby0072 fills | Verstappen | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $2,677 | +$187 +7.0% | 6 |
| 363d | 210213k120-jr210j12t563h112 fills | Norris | BuyNo55¢ → 0¢ | $3,152 | −$3,152 −100% | 14 |
| 363d | Marketpoll | Verstappen | BuyNo62¢ → 100¢ | $1,467 | +$899 +61% | 14 |
| 363d | Marketpoll | Norris | BuyYes45¢ → 100¢ | $2,285 | +$2,792 +122% | 14 |
| 363d | ethlayermaxim | Sainz | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,099 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 363d | franklineth | Lawson | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,800 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 363d | 0xe42e…8d89 | Verstappen | BuyYes56¢ → 0¢ | $1,088 | −$1,088 −100% | 12 |
| 364d | Art2610 | Verstappen | BuyNo48¢ → 100¢ | $1,160 | +$1,257 +108% | 12 |
| 364d | dfsgretfewqrfew | Verstappen | BuyYes55¢ → 0¢ | $1,098 | −$1,098 −100% | 12 |
| 364d | XVFlow | Hamilton | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,000 | +$27 +0.4% | 4 |
| 365d |  Anjun | Verstappen | BuyNo55¢ → 100¢ | $3,794 | +$3,104 +82% | 9 |
| 365d |  treasurehunting2 fills | Verstappen | BuyYes46¢ → 0¢ | $3,935 | −$3,935 −100% | 6 |
| 365d | androidbunny | Verstappen | BuyYes46¢ → 0¢ | $1,998 | −$1,998 −100% | 9 |
| 365d |  sleepy-panda2 fills | Verstappen | BuyYes45¢ → 0¢ | $4,080 | −$4,080 −100% | 6 |
| 366d | treasurehunting | Verstappen | SellYes42¢ → 0¢ | $1,412 | +$1,412 +100% | — |
00100010000011002,700 sharesThis is a polymarket on the winner of the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix, scheduled for October 26, 2025. If the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after December 1, 2025, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30–60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA’s published classification will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Norris means the market gives it about 100%.