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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $50M | 100% | −2 pts | −2 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 69d |
| $100M | 0% | +3 pts | +1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 69d |
| $200M | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 69d |
| $300M | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 69d |
| $400M | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 69d |
| $500M | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 69d |
| $600M | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 69d |
| $800M | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 69d |
| $1B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 69d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 203d | 1881aa | $50M | SellYes>99¢ | $1,018 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 204d | agrarward | $100M | SellNo>99¢ | $1,563 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 204d |  ke1pie | $50M | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,707 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 204d | thearbi | $100M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,956 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 204d | agrarward | $100M | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,219 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 204d | PHILARMONIA | $50M | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,036 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 204d |  CryptoFarm | $100M | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,916 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 204d | 1881aa4 fills | $100M | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,964 | +$46 +0.8% | 2 |
| 204d | 1881aa | $50M | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,086 | +$11 +1.0% | 2 |
| 204d |  leleko2k | $50M | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,644 | +$36 +1.4% | 2 |
| 204d | alkh | $400M | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,094 | −$8 −0.7% | — |
| 204d | kukidi | $500M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,715 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 204d | seedah | $500M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,009 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 204d | wejknrewkd | $50M | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,080 | +$120 +11% | 2 |
| 205d | seedah | $1B | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,300 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 205d | seedah | $800M | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,600 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 205d | ke1pie | $600M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,655 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 205d |  alphaalii2 fills | $50M | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $2,834 | +$492 +17% | 2 |
| 205d | 0xEB6789cA6b1425fF908a69a2a5469C38532C | $50M | BuyYes72¢ → 100¢ | $3,605 | +$1,402 +39% | 2 |
| 206d | TommyKFCV502 fills | $300M | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,514 | +$63 +2.5% | 2 |
| 212d | tianxia123 | $50M | BuyYes79¢ → 100¢ | $1,896 | +$504 +27% | 2 |
| 235d | rrtty | $600M | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,684 | +$16 +0.6% | 2 |
BlackswanDefi1,260 shares
guapp1,000 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Mezo's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Mezo (https://x.com/MezoNetwork) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for $50M means the market gives it about 100%.