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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Verstappen | 100% | +85 pts | +78 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Lando Norris | 0% | −32 pts | −38 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Oscar Piastri | 0% | −33 pts | −34 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Charles Leclerc | 0% | −3 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lewis Hamilton | 0% | −2 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Liam Lawson | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Andrea Antonelli | 0% | −10 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| George Russell | 0% | −7 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fernando Alonso | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lance Stroll | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jack Doohan | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Pierre Gasly | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Esteban Ocon | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Oliver Bearman | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Isack Hadjar | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Yuki Tsunoda | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Alex Albon | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Carlos Sainz Jr. | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Gabriel Bortoleto | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nico Hülkenberg | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | — | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 538d |  AgricultureSecretary | Max Verstappen | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,052 | +$8 +0.1% | 4 |
| 538d | xbsuwrkfmdl37 | Pierre Gasly | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,655 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 540d | Emvarn | Lando Norris | SellNo65¢ → 100¢ | $22,904 | −$12,333 −54% | — |
| 540d | Emvarn | Lando Norris | BuyNo66¢ → 100¢ | $23,257 | +$11,981 +52% | 6 |
| 541d | Vurelle | Lando Norris | SellYes35¢ → 0¢ | $18,732 | +$18,732 +100% | — |
| 541d | Xephyr | Lando Norris | BuyNo66¢ → 100¢ | $35,325 | +$18,198 +52% | 6 |
| 541d | Snoorrason2 fills | Nico Hülkenberg | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,521 | +$11 +0.3% | 4 |
| 550d | Gryndel | Lando Norris | SellYes39¢ → 0¢ | $12,953 | +$12,953 +100% | — |
| 550d | Fendros | Lando Norris | BuyNo62¢ → 100¢ | $20,592 | +$12,621 +61% | 4 |
This market will resolve according to the driver who achieves pole position at the 2025 Miami Grand Prix scheduled for May 3, 2025. If the 2025 Miami Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after June 20, 2025, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and credible sports news reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Max Verstappen means the market gives it about 100%.