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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oscar Piastri | 100% | +84 pts | +62 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Lando Norris | 0% | −37 pts | −38 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Charles Leclerc | 0% | −1 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lewis Hamilton | 0% | −1 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Max Verstappen | 0% | −36 pts | −15 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Liam Lawson | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Andrea Antonelli | 0% | −3 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| George Russell | 0% | −1 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fernando Alonso | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lance Stroll | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jack Doohan | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Pierre Gasly | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Esteban Ocon | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Oliver Bearman | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Isack Hadjar | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Yuki Tsunoda | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Alex Albon | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Carlos Sainz Jr. | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Gabriel Bortoleto | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nico Hülkenberg | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 537d |  lockfolio | Oscar Piastri | SellYes>99¢ | $3,680 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 537d | Predictandbreathe | Oscar Piastri | SellYes>99¢ | $3,516 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 537d |  UwO | Oscar Piastri | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,035 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 537d | EVplusrebate | Max Verstappen | SellNo>99¢ | $1,538 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 537d | yorkerTM | Oscar Piastri | SellYes>99¢ | $2,027 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 537d | Ignaco | Max Verstappen | SellNo>99¢ | $1,619 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 537d | affs20791 | Lando Norris | SellNo>99¢ | $2,098 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 537d | affs20791 | Oscar Piastri | SellYes>99¢ | $2,113 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 537d | Esvvhjtrfvnki7yg4gbj6yg | Oscar Piastri | SellYes>99¢ | $2,997 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 537d | pmkt1939 | Oscar Piastri | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $2,435 | +$156 +6.4% | 6 |
| 537d | lockfolio | Oscar Piastri | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$549 +18% | 8 |
| 537d |  coby | Lando Norris | BuyNo76¢ → 100¢ | $1,519 | +$481 +32% | 10 |
| 537d | SaylorMoon | Max Verstappen | BuyYes53¢ → 0¢ | $2,650 | −$2,650 −100% | 12 |
| 537d | 025d2 fills | Lando Norris | BuyNo76¢ → 100¢ | $2,395 | +$763 +32% | 8 |
| 537d | Unselfish-MobsterNew account | Max Verstappen | BuyNo60¢ → 100¢ | $2,633 | +$1,755 +67% | 24 |
| 537d |  Endgametheory | Lando Norris | BuyNo65¢ → 100¢ | $1,289 | +$696 +54% | 12 |
| 537d | Ignaco | Max Verstappen | BuyNo64¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$566 +57% | 12 |
| 537d |  Blunderton | Max Verstappen | BuyNo65¢ → 100¢ | $1,075 | +$569 +53% | 12 |
| 537d | xbsuwrkfmdl37 | Fernando Alonso | SellNo>99¢ | $1,755 | −$5 −0.3% | — |
| 537d | 025d13 fills | Oscar Piastri | BuyNo80¢ → 0¢ | $24,143 | −$24,143 −100% | 5 |
| 537d | 025d7 fills | Andrea Antonelli | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $15,291 | +$543 +3.6% | 5 |
| 537d | PAMF | George Russell | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,460 | +$58 +4.0% | 5 |
| 537d | Esvvhjtrfvnki7yg4gbj6yg | Max Verstappen | BuyYes37¢ → 0¢ | $1,480 | −$1,480 −100% | 12 |
| 538d | xbsuwrkfmdl37 | Yuki Tsunoda | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,519 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 538d | xbsuwrkfmdl37 | Other | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,911 | +$4 +0.2% | 4 |
| 538d | xbsuwrkfmdl37 | Fernando Alonso | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,620 | +$5 +0.2% | 4 |
| 538d | xbsuwrkfmdl37 | Pierre Gasly | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,332 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
| 538d | 025d2 fills | George Russell | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,331 | +$41 +1.2% | 4 |
| 538d | 025d | Charles Leclerc | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $8,204 | +$142 +1.7% | 4 |
| 538d | affs20791 | George Russell | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,003 | +$112 +5.6% | 5 |
| 539d | 22BB | Pierre Gasly | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,233 | +$4 +0.3% | 4 |
| 540d | affs20791 | Charles Leclerc | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,924 | +$76 +4.0% | 4 |
| 540d |  Simbaaaa | Lewis Hamilton | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$42 +2.1% | 4 |
| 545d | Orysen | Lando Norris | SellNo62¢ → 100¢ | $37,322 | −$22,875 −61% | — |
| 545d | Orysen | Lando Norris | BuyNo63¢ → 100¢ | $37,925 | +$22,273 +59% | 4 |
| 550d | Fendros | Oscar Piastri | SellYes38¢ → 100¢ | $19,785 | −$32,282 −163% | — |
| 550d | Xylenor | Oscar Piastri | BuyNo61¢ → 0¢ | $31,761 | −$31,761 −100% | 4 |
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2025 Miami Grand Prix scheduled for May 4, 2025. If the 2025 Miami Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after June 20, 2025, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and credible sports news reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Oscar Piastri means the market gives it about 100%.