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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +2 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 679d | rpo | Michel Barnier out as prime minister of France in 2024? | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,195 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 679d |  idunnoman69 | Michel Barnier out as prime minister of France in 2024? | SellYes>99¢ | $4,137 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 679d |  1Mbefore2026 | Michel Barnier out as prime minister of France in 2024? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,416 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 679d |  Fuentes31 | Michel Barnier out as prime minister of France in 2024? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,855 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 679d |  Vanquish | Michel Barnier out as prime minister of France in 2024? | SellYes>99¢ | $4,278 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 679d | lindraks | Michel Barnier out as prime minister of France in 2024? | SellYes>99¢ | $3,111 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 680d | goldingboy4 fills | Michel Barnier out as prime minister of France in 2024? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $34,662 | +$426 +1.2% | 20 |
| 680d | MonsieurSeguin | Michel Barnier out as prime minister of France in 2024? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,620 | +$53 +2.0% | 20 |
| 681d | apedignio | Michel Barnier out as prime minister of France in 2024? | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $3,025 | −$198 −6.5% | — |
| 681d | JohnKing2 fills | Michel Barnier out as prime minister of France in 2024? | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,607 | +$114 +4.4% | 20 |
| 681d |  Car8 fills | Michel Barnier out as prime minister of France in 2024? | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $16,459 | +$808 +4.9% | 20 |
| 682d | StudentMoney2 fills | Michel Barnier out as prime minister of France in 2024? | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $11,703 | +$524 +4.5% | 20 |
| 682d | apedignio | Michel Barnier out as prime minister of France in 2024? | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,506 | +$135 +5.4% | 20 |
| 682d |  MMousse7 fills | Michel Barnier out as prime minister of France in 2024? | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $25,716 | +$1,600 +6.2% | 20 |
| 684d | Jules-sgr | Michel Barnier out as prime minister of France in 2024? | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,999 | +$133 +4.5% | 20 |
| 684d |  Bouplai2 fills | Michel Barnier out as prime minister of France in 2024? | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $3,499 | +$171 +4.9% | 20 |
| 685d | nedsta | Michel Barnier out as prime minister of France in 2024? | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,231 | −$113 −9.2% | — |
| 685d | idunnoman692 fills | Michel Barnier out as prime minister of France in 2024? | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $3,776 | +$265 +7.0% | 20 |
| 686d | Vanquish | Michel Barnier out as prime minister of France in 2024? | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,118 | +$72 +6.4% | 20 |
| 687d |  flovertaco2 fills | Michel Barnier out as prime minister of France in 2024? | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $8,569 | −$431 −5.0% | — |
| 687d | Lman | Michel Barnier out as prime minister of France in 2024? | SellYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,239 | −$92 −7.4% | — |
| 687d | Lman | Michel Barnier out as prime minister of France in 2024? | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,272 | +$59 +4.6% | 20 |
| 687d | flovertaco4 fills | Michel Barnier out as prime minister of France in 2024? | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $7,174 | +$426 +5.9% | 20 |
| 687d | StudentMoney | Michel Barnier out as prime minister of France in 2024? | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $3,690 | −$210 −5.7% | — |
| 687d |  OziG | Michel Barnier out as prime minister of France in 2024? | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $3,538 | −$202 −5.7% | — |
| 687d | DawnOfYemen | Michel Barnier out as prime minister of France in 2024? | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,076 | −$60 −5.6% | — |
| 688d |  intelmarketmaker2 fills | Michel Barnier out as prime minister of France in 2024? | SellYes85¢ → 100¢ | $3,269 | −$588 −18% | — |
| 688d | 1Mbefore2026 | Michel Barnier out as prime minister of France in 2024? | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,358 | +$60 +4.4% | 20 |
| 688d | Car2 fills | Michel Barnier out as prime minister of France in 2024? | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $4,763 | −$436 −9.2% | — |
| 688d |  BustedCungly | Michel Barnier out as prime minister of France in 2024? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $7,260 | +$148 +2.0% | 20 |
| 688d |  Erasmus. | Michel Barnier out as prime minister of France in 2024? | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,217 | +$69 +3.1% | 20 |
| 688d | DaddyNapoleon | Michel Barnier out as prime minister of France in 2024? | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,915 | +$80 +4.2% | 20 |
| 688d | bettoooooooooooooor | Michel Barnier out as prime minister of France in 2024? | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,371 | +$146 +11% | 20 |
| 688d | intelmarketmaker | Michel Barnier out as prime minister of France in 2024? | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $1,478 | +$239 +16% | 20 |
| 689d | lindraks | Michel Barnier out as prime minister of France in 2024? | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $2,567 | +$647 +25% | 20 |
| 689d | uvnrm | Michel Barnier out as prime minister of France in 2024? | SellYes76¢ → 100¢ | $1,037 | −$325 −31% | — |
| 689d |  mr.ozi | Michel Barnier out as prime minister of France in 2024? | BuyYes77¢ → 100¢ | $1,925 | +$575 +30% | 20 |
| 689d |  WordleAddict | Michel Barnier out as prime minister of France in 2024? | BuyYes74¢ → 100¢ | $4,440 | +$1,560 +35% | 20 |
| 689d | Zazoule974 | Michel Barnier out as prime minister of France in 2024? | BuyNo72¢ → 0¢ | $9,999 | −$9,999 −100% | 20 |
| 690d | OziG2 fills | Michel Barnier out as prime minister of France in 2024? | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $3,113 | +$589 +19% | 20 |
| 694d | sirConradz | Michel Barnier out as prime minister of France in 2024? | BuyNo63¢ → 0¢ | $1,629 | −$1,629 −100% | 20 |
| 694d | intelmarketmaker | Michel Barnier out as prime minister of France in 2024? | BuyNo60¢ → 0¢ | $1,083 | −$1,083 −100% | 20 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Michel Barnier ceases to be the Prime Minister of France for any period of time between November 20, 2024 and December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.