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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15% | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| <1% | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| 1-5% | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| 5-10% | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| >15% | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 964d |  truthteller | >15% | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,499 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 969d | professorx | 5-10% | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,151 | +$4 +0.2% | 10 |
| 969d | professorx | 1-5% | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,625 | +$3 +0.1% | 10 |
| 969d | professorx | <1% | BuyNo>99¢ | $19,777 | +$20 +0.1% | 10 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if “uncommitted” receives less than 1% of the popular vote in the 2024 Democratic Michigan Primary. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no such primary takes place in Michigan in 2024, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 10-15% means the market gives it about 100%.