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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump by 1.0-2.0% | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Trump by 4.0%+ | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Trump by 3.0-4.0% | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · 2¢ | — | ended |
| Trump by 2.0-3.0% | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Trump by 0-1.0% | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Harris by 0-1.0% | 0% | −4 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Harris by 1.0-2.0% | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Harris by 2.0-3.0% | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Harris by 3.0-4.0% | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Harris by 4%+ | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 698d | AIisTheNewWalkingDead | Trump by 1.0-2.0% | BuyYes>99¢ | $15,688 | +$16 +0.1% | 4 |
| 703d |  beigesun2 fills | Trump by 1.0-2.0% | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $9,563 | +$97 +1.0% | 4 |
| 704d |  Apsalar | Harris by 4%+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,872 | +$11 +0.1% | 4 |
| 708d |  Flaner | Trump by 1.0-2.0% | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,148 | +$22 +1.0% | 4 |
| 709d | kingfisher | Trump by 1.0-2.0% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,348 | −$20 −1.5% | — |
| 711d | Nabeel0505 | Trump by 1.0-2.0% | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,449 | −$31 −2.1% | — |
| 717d | 8BlocksCapital | Trump by 4.0%+ | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $2,852 | +$253 +8.9% | 4 |
| 717d | AnonymousUsername2 fills | Trump by 4.0%+ | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $2,683 | +$468 +17% | 4 |
| 719d |  truthteller2 fills | Harris by 4%+ | SellNo75¢ → 100¢ | $7,335 | −$2,445 −33% | — |
| 720d | 0xfe91…70ff | Trump by 4.0%+ | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $4,712 | +$356 +7.5% | 5 |
| 721d | 0xfe91…70ff | Harris by 4%+ | BuyYes20¢ → 0¢ | $1,456 | −$1,456 −100% | 8 |
| 721d | redskinrick | Trump by 0-1.0% | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $3,287 | +$535 +16% | 5 |
| 721d | AnonymousUsername | Harris by 4%+ | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $3,105 | +$645 +21% | 5 |
| 722d | AnonymousUsername | Trump by 3.0-4.0% | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,088 | +$82 +7.5% | 4 |
| 722d | FeathersTogether | Trump by 4.0%+ | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $10,000 | +$1,027 +10% | 5 |
| 722d | Nabeel0505 | Trump by 4.0%+ | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $4,180 | +$517 +12% | 5 |
| 724d | AntiMAGA | Trump by 4.0%+ | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $6,975 | +$1,219 +17% | 5 |
| 727d | AnonymousUsername | Trump by 0-1.0% | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $2,418 | +$394 +16% | 4 |
| 732d |  scottilicious2 fills | Trump by 4.0%+ | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $3,740 | +$515 +14% | 4 |
| 743d | AnonymousUsername2 fills | Harris by 2.0-3.0% | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $3,003 | +$392 +13% | 4 |
| 744d | AnonymousUsername | Harris by 0-1.0% | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $3,297 | +$493 +15% | 4 |
This is a market on predicting the margin of victory for the Michigan football team in their next game.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Trump by 1.0-2.0% means the market gives it about 100%.