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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin McGonigle | 94% | 0 pts | — | 94¢ · 94¢ (<1¢) | $16.1 | in 55d |
| Parker Messick | 3% | +1 pts | 0 pts | 1¢ · 4¢ (3¢) | — | in 68d |
| Munetaka Murakami | 1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | $7.14 | in 55d |
| Kazuma Okamoto | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 55d |
| Carter Jensen | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 55d |
| Samuel Basallo | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 55d |
| Trey Yesavage | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 55d |
| Tatsuya Imai | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 55d |
| Chase DeLauter | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 55d |
| Connelly Early | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 55d |
| Carson Williams | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 55d |
| Dylan Beavers | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 55d |
| Travis Bazzana | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 55d |
| Colt Emerson | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 55d |
| Payton Tolle | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 55d |
| Walker Jenkins | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 68d |
| Carlos Lagrange | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 55d |
| Brice Matthews | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 55d |
| Spencer Jones | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 55d |
| Leo De Vries | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 55d |
| Max Clark | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 55d |
| George Lombard Jr. | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 55d |
| Sam Antonacci | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 55d |
| Gage Jump | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 55d |
| Tristan Peters | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 55d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11d | Kevin McGonigle | SellYes94¢ | $1,435 | −$3 −0.2% | — | |
| 32d | Igothackedd | Kevin McGonigle | SellYes90¢ → 94¢ | $1,841 | −$91 −4.9% | — |
| 122d | Igothackedd | Kevin McGonigle | BuyYes60¢ → 94¢ | $1,234 | +$698 +57% | 24 |
| 128d | happysXJaCrQne5 fills | Kazuma Okamoto | SellNo>99¢ | $17,137 | −$26 −0.2% | — |
| 128d | happysXJaCrQne4 fills | Kazuma Okamoto | BuyNo>99¢ | $17,851 | +$27 +0.2% | 4 |
| 128d | ulcky5Mb8Lynx2 fills | Kazuma Okamoto | SellNo>99¢ | $14,375 | −$36 −0.3% | — |
| 128d | ulcky5Mb8Lynx4 fills | Kazuma Okamoto | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,382 | +$23 +0.2% | 4 |
| 128d | Majestic-Transfer-StoreyNew account | Kazuma Okamoto | SellNo>99¢ | $17,919 | −$52 −0.3% | — |
| 128d | Majestic-Transfer-StoreyNew account | Kazuma Okamoto | BuyNo>99¢ | $18,214 | +$27 +0.2% | 4 |
| 128d | kein4pxNTeger4 fills | Kazuma Okamoto | SellNo99¢ → >99¢ | $14,674 | −$66 −0.5% | — |
| 128d | kein4pxNTeger3 fills | Kazuma Okamoto | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,223 | +$23 +0.2% | 4 |
| 128d | wittyTEDjkeer3 fills | Kazuma Okamoto | SellNo>99¢ | $15,933 | −$46 −0.3% | — |
| 128d | wittyTEDjkeer4 fills | Kazuma Okamoto | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,955 | +$24 +0.2% | 4 |
| 128d | calaTq1PFmlcon2 fills | Kazuma Okamoto | SellNo>99¢ | $14,864 | −$65 −0.4% | — |
| 128d | calaTq1PFmlcon3 fills | Kazuma Okamoto | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,341 | +$23 +0.2% | 4 |
| 128d | calmAUVWCta4 fills | Kazuma Okamoto | SellNo>99¢ | $14,974 | −$41 −0.3% | — |
| 128d | calmAUVWCta4 fills | Kazuma Okamoto | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,223 | +$23 +0.2% | 4 |
| 130d | quPckisKVHawk2 fills | Connelly Early | SellNo>99¢ | $15,225 | −$58 −0.4% | — |
| 130d | quPckisKVHawk4 fills | Connelly Early | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,245 | +$38 +0.3% | 4 |
| 130d | silwntPJwwHaek4 fills | Connelly Early | SellNo>99¢ | $17,560 | −$44 −0.3% | — |
| 130d | silwntPJwwHaek5 fills | Connelly Early | BuyNo>99¢ | $19,197 | +$74 +0.4% | 4 |
| 130d | wisedkciLWon2 fills | Walker Jenkins | SellNo>99¢ | $15,159 | −$38 −0.3% | — |
| 130d | wisedkciLWon5 fills | Walker Jenkins | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,175 | +$23 +0.2% | 4 |
| 130d | boldnO6bwOl2 fills | Walker Jenkins | SellNo>99¢ | $15,276 | −$60 −0.4% | — |
| 130d | boldnO6bwOl4 fills | Walker Jenkins | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,298 | +$38 +0.3% | 4 |
| 140d | coffeeface | Kevin McGonigle | SellYes45¢ → 94¢ | $1,256 | −$1,341 −107% | — |
| 140d | coffeeface | Munetaka Murakami | SellYes14¢ → 1¢ | $1,568 | +$1,472 +94% | — |
| 147d | oliman2 | Munetaka Murakami | BuyNo59¢ → 99¢ | $1,080 | +$735 +68% | 24 |
| 151d | Admired-PrintNew account | Carson Williams | SellNo>99¢ | $210,714 | −$739 −0.4% | — |
| 152d | Admired-PrintNew account | Carson Williams | BuyNo>99¢ | $211,560 | +$554 +0.3% | 4 |
| 152d | kxen4C1dFoe3 fills | Carter Jensen | SellNo99¢ → >99¢ | $7,575 | −$39 −0.5% | — |
| 152d | kxen4C1dFoe3 fills | Carter Jensen | BuyNo100¢ | $7,580 | +$34 +0.5% | 4 |
| 152d | 0x7eb6…e6cd2 fills | Carter Jensen | SellNo99¢ → >99¢ | $5,029 | −$25 −0.5% | — |
| 152d | 0x7eb6…e6cd2 fills | Carter Jensen | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,071 | +$23 +0.5% | 4 |
| 152d | Admired-PrintNew account | Carter Jensen | SellNo99¢ → >99¢ | $8,174 | −$50 −0.6% | — |
| 152d | Admired-PrintNew account | Carter Jensen | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,187 | +$37 +0.5% | 4 |
| 152d | Jaunty-Graffiti-EngineNew account | Carter Jensen | SellNo99¢ → >99¢ | $6,123 | −$29 −0.5% | — |
| 152d | Jaunty-Graffiti-EngineNew account | Carter Jensen | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,652 | +$30 +0.5% | 4 |
| 152d | qkicu3SPZLynx6 fills | Carter Jensen | SellNo99¢ → >99¢ | $17,507 | −$83 −0.5% | — |
| 152d | qkicu3SPZLynx7 fills | Carter Jensen | BuyNo100¢ | $18,405 | +$83 +0.5% | 4 |
| 152d | 0x3489…52f25 fills | Payton Tolle | SellNo>99¢ | $16,218 | −$61 −0.4% | — |
| 152d | 0x3489…52f26 fills | Payton Tolle | BuyNo>99¢ | $16,949 | +$60 +0.4% | 4 |
| 152d | 0x2c16…06115 fills | Payton Tolle | SellNo99¢ → >99¢ | $13,506 | −$62 −0.5% | — |
| 152d | 0x2c16…06116 fills | Payton Tolle | BuyNo>99¢ | $13,739 | +$48 +0.4% | 4 |
| 152d | swiqti0mfCat5 fills | Payton Tolle | SellNo>99¢ | $13,334 | −$56 −0.4% | — |
| 152d | swiqti0mfCat6 fills | Payton Tolle | BuyNo>99¢ | $13,663 | +$48 +0.4% | 4 |
| 152d | quickDckQDaisy6 fills | Payton Tolle | SellNo>99¢ | $16,194 | −$57 −0.4% | — |
| 152d | quickDckQDaisy7 fills | Payton Tolle | BuyNo>99¢ | $17,162 | +$60 +0.4% | 4 |
| 152d | proudAIzXCrane7 fills | Payton Tolle | SellNo>99¢ | $18,044 | −$72 −0.4% | — |
| 152d | proudAIzXCrane7 fills | Payton Tolle | BuyNo>99¢ | $18,071 | +$45 +0.3% | 4 |
| 152d | 0xd1bb…71e25 fills | Payton Tolle | SellNo>99¢ | $15,850 | −$59 −0.4% | — |
| 152d | 0xd1bb…71e26 fills | Payton Tolle | BuyNo>99¢ | $16,143 | +$57 +0.4% | 4 |
| 152d | Orange-ChivalryNew account | Spencer Jones | SellNo>99¢ | $17,747 | −$67 −0.4% | — |
| 152d | Orange-ChivalryNew account | Spencer Jones | BuyNo>99¢ | $18,106 | +$59 +0.3% | 4 |
| 152d | 0x91f2…6ad2 | Carlos Lagrange | SellNo99¢ → >99¢ | $5,262 | −$40 −0.8% | — |
| 152d | 0x91f2…6ad22 fills | Carlos Lagrange | BuyNo99¢ → >99¢ | $5,266 | +$35 +0.7% | 4 |
| 152d | clevert4xFOtMer2 fills | Carlos Lagrange | SellNo99¢ → >99¢ | $4,504 | −$25 −0.6% | — |
| 152d | clevert4xFOtMer3 fills | Carlos Lagrange | BuyNo100¢ | $6,145 | +$28 +0.5% | 4 |
| 152d | euickwSbZEaglq3 fills | Carlos Lagrange | SellNo99¢ → >99¢ | $8,950 | −$46 −0.5% | — |
| 152d | euickwSbZEaglq3 fills | Carlos Lagrange | BuyNo100¢ | $8,955 | +$41 +0.5% | 4 |
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Rookie of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 94¢ for Kevin McGonigle means the market gives it about 94%.