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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins | 0% | −46 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 8.5 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 7.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| NRFI | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Spread -2.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 9.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Spread -1.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Spread -1.5 | 0% | −34 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 6.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 10.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 169d | mlbman | Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins | SellMiami Marlins>99¢ | $1,435 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 169d | Bigboybandi | Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins | SellMiami Marlins>99¢ | $35,574 | −$36 −0.1% | — |
| 169d | Mikee12 | O/U 8.5 | SellUnder>99¢ | $15,790 | −$16 −0.1% | — |
| 169d | Wordy-Littleneck | O/U 8.5 | SellUnder>99¢ | $28,526 | −$29 −0.1% | — |
| 169d |  alpheclabs | Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins | SellMiami Marlins>99¢ | $7,289 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 169d | blindsamsam | Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins | SellMiami Marlins>99¢ | $1,124 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 169d | Cooperlovesfood | O/U 8.5 | SellUnder>99¢ | $2,675 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 169d |  sweetcaroline | Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins | BuyMiami Marlins99¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$20 +1.0% | 4 |
| 169d | curie | Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins | BuyMiami Marlins98¢ → 100¢ | $2,558 | +$52 +2.0% | 4 |
| 169d | justaluckydude | Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins | BuyBaltimore Orioles39¢ → 0¢ | $2,905 | −$2,905 −100% | 6 |
| 169d | mscleo3 fills | Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins | BuyMiami Marlins65¢ → 100¢ | $4,541 | +$2,426 +53% | 6 |
| 169d | whycantilose | Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins | BuyMiami Marlins57¢ → 100¢ | $5,700 | +$4,300 +75% | 6 |
| 169d | 0x5375…aeea2 fills | Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins | BuyBaltimore Orioles42¢ → 0¢ | $3,225 | −$3,225 −100% | 6 |
| 169d | Untried-Railway-Reception | Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins | BuyBaltimore Orioles49¢ → 0¢ | $1,130 | −$1,130 −100% | 6 |
| 169d | B... | Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins | BuyBaltimore Orioles49¢ → 0¢ | $1,470 | −$1,470 −100% | 6 |
| 169d | MilesY | Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins | BuyBaltimore Orioles48¢ → 0¢ | $8,900 | −$8,900 −100% | 6 |
| 169d | MilesY | Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins | SellMiami Marlins52¢ → 100¢ | $14,194 | −$13,130 −93% | — |
| 169d | B... | Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins | SellBaltimore Orioles34¢ → 0¢ | $1,237 | +$1,237 +100% | — |
| 169d | 0x4f2 | Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins | BuyMiami Marlins75¢ → 100¢ | $1,005 | +$334 +33% | 6 |
| 169d | whycantilose | O/U 9.5 | BuyOver56¢ → 0¢ | $5,589 | −$5,589 −100% | 4 |
| 169d | swisstony | Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins | BuyMiami Marlins68¢ → 100¢ | $2,778 | +$1,307 +47% | 6 |
| 169d |  RN1 | Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins | BuyMiami Marlins68¢ → 100¢ | $1,863 | +$877 +47% | 6 |
| 169d | pilotguy2 fills | Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins | BuyBaltimore Orioles28¢ → 0¢ | $3,282 | −$3,282 −100% | 4 |
| 169d | Vigilant-Environment | O/U 8.5 | BuyUnder33¢ → 100¢ | $1,372 | +$2,786 +203% | 4 |
| 169d | justaluckydude | Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins | BuyMiami Marlins57¢ → 100¢ | $1,647 | +$1,234 +75% | 6 |
| 169d | whycantilose | O/U 8.5 | BuyOver54¢ → 0¢ | $8,100 | −$8,100 −100% | 4 |
| 169d | ferrariChampions2026 | Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins | BuyMiami Marlins78¢ → 100¢ | $16,216 | +$4,574 +28% | 5 |
| 169d | Unacceptable-Crop-SpotlightNew account | Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins | BuyBaltimore Orioles22¢ → 0¢ | $17,281 | −$17,281 −100% | 15 |
| 169d | whycantilose | Spread -2.5 | BuyMiami Marlins53¢ → 0¢ | $7,950 | −$7,950 −100% | 4 |
| 169d | 0x86fb…03d42 fills | Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins | BuyBaltimore Orioles40¢ → 0¢ | $6,056 | −$6,056 −100% | 4 |
| 169d | MilesY | Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins | BuyMiami Marlins74¢ → 100¢ | $20,194 | +$7,095 +35% | 6 |
| 169d | Cooperlovesfood | O/U 8.5 | BuyUnder44¢ → 100¢ | $1,168 | +$1,510 +129% | 4 |
| 169d | mscleo | Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins | SellMiami Marlins76¢ → 100¢ | $1,642 | −$518 −32% | — |
| 169d | Mikee12 | O/U 8.5 | BuyUnder57¢ → 100¢ | $9,000 | +$6,805 +76% | 4 |
| 169d | RN14 fills | O/U 8.5 | BuyUnder52¢ → 100¢ | $5,387 | +$4,973 +92% | 4 |
| 169d | sss.tier | Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins | BuyMiami Marlins55¢ → 100¢ | $2,805 | +$2,295 +82% | 6 |
| 169d | stackingsats | Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins | BuyBaltimore Orioles46¢ → 0¢ | $9,200 | −$9,200 −100% | 4 |
| 169d | Bigboybandi3 fills | Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins | BuyMiami Marlins54¢ → 100¢ | $18,800 | +$15,884 +84% | 4 |
| 169d | Steep-Blush | Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins | BuyBaltimore Orioles46¢ → 0¢ | $3,680 | −$3,680 −100% | 7 |
| 169d | Wordy-Littleneck3 fills | O/U 8.5 | BuyUnder52¢ → 100¢ | $9,934 | +$9,170 +92% | 14 |
| 169d |  mooseborzoi6 fills | O/U 8.5 | BuyOver49¢ → 0¢ | $23,421 | −$23,421 −100% | 14 |
| 169d | MilesY | NRFI | BuyNo54¢ → 0¢ | $10,000 | −$10,000 −100% | 4 |
| 169d | HAGIII | Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins | BuyBaltimore Orioles47¢ → 0¢ | $1,044 | −$1,044 −100% | 4 |
| 169d | THEdirkdiggler | O/U 8.5 | BuyOver48¢ → 0¢ | $1,313 | −$1,313 −100% | 14 |
| 169d | 0xd100…853d2 fills | Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins | BuyBaltimore Orioles47¢ → 0¢ | $9,208 | −$9,208 −100% | 4 |
| 169d | pilotlady | Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins | BuyBaltimore Orioles47¢ → 0¢ | $3,068 | −$3,068 −100% | 4 |
| 169d | 05143 | Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins | BuyBaltimore Orioles46¢ → 0¢ | $36,349 | −$36,349 −100% | 4 |
| 169d | Talvez10 | Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins | BuyBaltimore Orioles46¢ → 0¢ | $16,100 | −$16,100 −100% | 4 |
| 169d | 0x0bfd…a4bb | Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins | BuyMiami Marlins55¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$4,090 +82% | 4 |
| 169d | Pwaddler | Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins | BuyMiami Marlins54¢ → 100¢ | $25,906 | +$22,068 +85% | 4 |
| 169d | 0x3625…1187 | Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins | BuyMiami Marlins55¢ → 100¢ | $20,000 | +$16,505 +83% | 4 |
| 169d | 0xbd14…d62a | Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins | BuyMiami Marlins54¢ → 100¢ | $20,000 | +$17,329 +87% | 4 |
| 169d | 0x3625…1187 | Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins | BuyBaltimore Orioles48¢ → 0¢ | $4,000 | −$4,000 −100% | 4 |
In the upcoming MLB game between the Baltimore Orioles and Miami Marlins, scheduled for May 7 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the game. This market will resolve to "Miami Marlins" if the Miami Marlins win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins means the market gives it about 0%.