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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians | 100% | +49 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 1d |
| O/U 6.5 | 100% | +48 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Spread -1.5 | 100% | +64 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| NRFI | 100% | +59 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | in 1d |
| O/U 5.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Spread -4.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 7.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Spread -3.5 | 100% | — | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Spread -2.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Spread -1.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 4.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 9.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 8.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 10.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5d | Noha13 | O/U 6.5 | SellOver>99¢ | $1,945 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 5d | fsh888 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians | SellTampa Bay Rays>99¢ | $11,421 | −$11 −0.1% | — |
| 5d | gigigigigic | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians | SellTampa Bay Rays>99¢ | $2,935 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 5d | 0xb5de…cabe | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians | SellTampa Bay Rays>99¢ | $1,333 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 5d | waduh | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians | SellTampa Bay Rays>99¢ | $3,788 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 5d | n1ck10s | O/U 6.5 | SellOver>99¢ | $1,009 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 5d | ztao | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians | SellTampa Bay Rays>99¢ | $1,607 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 5d |  mrkenlin8877 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians | SellTampa Bay Rays>99¢ | $1,730 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 5d | 24440 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians | SellTampa Bay Rays>99¢ | $9,800 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 5d | Salad1 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians | SellTampa Bay Rays>99¢ | $5,642 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 5d | Artimis | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians | SellTampa Bay Rays>99¢ | $1,485 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 5d | AnonymousPerson | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians | BuyTampa Bay Rays>99¢ | $36,865 | +$39 +0.1% | 4 |
| 5d | Flaznorp | Spread -4.5 | BuyCleveland Guardians77¢ → 100¢ | $3,150 | +$946 +30% | 4 |
| 5d | 0x9b11…53752 fills | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians | SellTampa Bay Rays98¢ → 100¢ | $2,451 | −$48 −1.9% | — |
| 5d | 0F623 fills | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians | BuyTampa Bay Rays93¢ → 100¢ | $7,217 | +$584 +8.1% | 4 |
| 5d | SamHadfield1500 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians | SellTampa Bay Rays99¢ → 100¢ | $2,628 | −$27 −1.0% | — |
| 5d | Likely-Feedback5 fills | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians | SellTampa Bay Rays61¢ → 100¢ | $11,539 | −$7,372 −64% | — |
| 5d | Substantial-Service | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians | BuyCleveland Guardians5¢ → 0¢ | $1,720 | −$1,720 −100% | 6 |
| 5d | gigigigigic | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians | BuyTampa Bay Rays88¢ → 100¢ | $2,232 | +$307 +14% | 5 |
| 5d | Katalunygeaxvhj2 fills | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians | BuyCleveland Guardians15¢ → 0¢ | $2,499 | −$2,499 −100% | 6 |
| 5d | wtylyjwyz | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians | BuyTampa Bay Rays88¢ → 100¢ | $1,313 | +$188 +14% | 5 |
| 5d | pagliacci42 fills | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians | BuyTampa Bay Rays82¢ → 100¢ | $4,185 | +$947 +23% | 5 |
| 5d | mooseborzoii6 fills | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians | BuyTampa Bay Rays61¢ → 100¢ | $18,277 | +$11,453 +63% | 6 |
| 5d | shyu50003 fills | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians | BuyTampa Bay Rays91¢ → 100¢ | $5,632 | +$553 +9.8% | 5 |
| 5d |  lasiweijiasi | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians | SellTampa Bay Rays89¢ → 100¢ | $1,068 | −$132 −12% | — |
| 5d | Artimis | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians | BuyTampa Bay Rays94¢ → 100¢ | $1,402 | +$84 +6.0% | 4 |
| 5d | kkookkoo3 fills | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians | SellTampa Bay Rays81¢ → 100¢ | $13,719 | −$3,251 −24% | — |
| 5d | HouseGrapper | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians | SellTampa Bay Rays95¢ → 100¢ | $1,033 | −$54 −5.3% | — |
| 5d | Dou123 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians | BuyTampa Bay Rays96¢ → 100¢ | $2,514 | +$99 +3.9% | 4 |
| 5d | 0xa10e…23482 fills | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians | SellTampa Bay Rays67¢ → 100¢ | $2,778 | −$1,362 −49% | — |
| 5d | suleng66 | O/U 7.5 | BuyUnder56¢ → 0¢ | $2,844 | −$2,844 −100% | 4 |
| 5d |  Aussieoioioi | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians | SellTampa Bay Rays94¢ → 100¢ | $12,902 | −$824 −6.4% | — |
| 5d | alaskabaked | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians | SellCleveland Guardians5¢ → 0¢ | $1,184 | +$1,184 +100% | — |
| 5d | hurrican | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians | BuyTampa Bay Rays94¢ → 100¢ | $19,000 | +$1,174 +6.2% | 4 |
| 5d | Ideal-Tepee | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians | SellTampa Bay Rays93¢ → 100¢ | $2,668 | −$201 −7.5% | — |
| 5d | suleng662 fills | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians | SellCleveland Guardians10¢ → 0¢ | $3,717 | +$3,717 +100% | — |
| 5d | Flaznorp | O/U 5.5 | BuyOver40¢ → 100¢ | $1,216 | +$1,823 +150% | 4 |
| 5d | Likely-Feedback5 fills | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians | BuyTampa Bay Rays51¢ → 100¢ | $9,595 | +$9,294 +97% | 10 |
| 5d | Katalunygeaxvhj2 fills | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians | SellCleveland Guardians38¢ → 0¢ | $2,677 | +$2,677 +100% | — |
| 5d | 0x9b11…53752 fills | Spread -1.5 | BuyCleveland Guardians68¢ → 0¢ | $2,651 | −$2,651 −100% | 4 |
| 5d | omnibus-076daa | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians | BuyTampa Bay Rays66¢ → 100¢ | $1,978 | +$1,019 +52% | 6 |
| 5d | Likely-Feedback | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians | SellCleveland Guardians34¢ → 0¢ | $2,667 | +$2,667 +100% | — |
| 5d | mooseborzoii6 fills | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians | BuyCleveland Guardians51¢ → 0¢ | $12,441 | −$12,441 −100% | 6 |
| 5d | flotide | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians | SellTampa Bay Rays69¢ → 100¢ | $1,147 | −$515 −45% | — |
| 5d | ghostorder | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians | BuyTampa Bay Rays75¢ → 100¢ | $1,355 | +$452 +33% | 6 |
| 5d | 0x1111111111 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians | BuyTampa Bay Rays75¢ → 100¢ | $1,503 | +$506 +34% | 6 |
| 5d | suleng663 fills | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians | BuyCleveland Guardians36¢ → 0¢ | $13,000 | −$13,000 −100% | 6 |
| 5d | Likely-Feedback | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians | BuyCleveland Guardians17¢ → 0¢ | $1,342 | −$1,342 −100% | 12 |
| 5d | KeldonRepuestos | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians | SellTampa Bay Rays63¢ → 100¢ | $2,471 | −$1,451 −59% | — |
| 5d | 0xd35a…9328 | O/U 5.5 | SellOver49¢ → 100¢ | $1,567 | −$1,631 −104% | — |
| 5d | averagejoetraders | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians | BuyTampa Bay Rays57¢ → 100¢ | $1,770 | +$1,315 +74% | 6 |
| 5d | suleng66 | O/U 6.5 | SellOver23¢ → 100¢ | $1,735 | −$5,662 −326% | — |
| 5d | 0xe051…df86 | O/U 4.5 | BuyOver57¢ → 100¢ | $2,908 | +$2,194 +75% | 4 |
| 5d |  amiramirel | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians | BuyCleveland Guardians55¢ → 0¢ | $1,010 | −$1,010 −100% | 6 |
| 5d | neymar1 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians | BuyTampa Bay Rays48¢ → 100¢ | $1,440 | +$1,560 +108% | 6 |
| 5d |  BIess | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians | BuyTampa Bay Rays48¢ → 100¢ | $4,586 | +$4,968 +108% | 6 |
| 5d | Ideal-Tepee | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians | BuyTampa Bay Rays57¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$747 +75% | 12 |
| 5d | pagliacci4 | O/U 6.5 | BuyUnder66¢ → 0¢ | $1,980 | −$1,980 −100% | 4 |
| 5d | dabossrealman | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians | SellTampa Bay Rays46¢ → 100¢ | $13,127 | −$15,409 −117% | — |
| 5d | Flaznorp | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians | BuyTampa Bay Rays47¢ → 100¢ | $1,985 | +$2,238 +113% | 6 |
This event refers to Game 4 of the ALCS originally scheduled for 6:00 PM ET on October 16, 2026. This game has been rescheduled to October 17, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET. Please refer to mlb.com for the latest start time information. This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game. This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians means the market gives it about 100%.