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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians | 100% | +58 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 2d |
| Spread -1.5 | 100% | +76 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 6.5 | 0% | +40 pts | — | <1¢ · 80¢ (80¢) | $20.8K | ended |
| O/U 7.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| NRFI | 100% | +44 pts | +41 pts | 86¢ · 100¢ (15¢) | — | in 2d |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Spread -2.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Spread -3.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 8.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6h | O/U 6.5 | BuyUnder>99¢ | $17,029 | +$17 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 22h | zxc3682 fills | O/U 6.5 | SellUnder>99¢ | $5,494 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 1d | sinasinner | O/U 6.5 | SellUnder>99¢ | $3,110 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 4d | O/U 4.5 | SellUnder>99¢ | $1,104 | −$1 −0.1% | — | |
| 4d | mercury777 | O/U 6.5 | SellUnder>99¢ | $1,009 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 4d | Ideal-Tepee | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians | SellTampa Bay Rays>99¢ | $4,026 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 4d | paquitomillonario | O/U 6.5 | SellUnder99¢ → 100¢ | $3,862 | −$37 −1.0% | — |
| 4d | kkookkoo3 fills | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians | SellTampa Bay Rays91¢ → 100¢ | $13,996 | −$1,456 −10% | — |
| 4d | 0xNuttawut | Spread -1.5 | SellTampa Bay Rays>99¢ | $8,285 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 4d | Flaznorp | Spread -2.5 | BuyCleveland Guardians82¢ → 100¢ | $2,084 | +$458 +22% | 4 |
| 4d | Likely-Feedback | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians | BuyTampa Bay Rays90¢ → 100¢ | $3,470 | +$386 +11% | 7 |
| 4d | Substantial-Service | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians | BuyTampa Bay Rays88¢ → 100¢ | $8,406 | +$1,146 +14% | 5 |
| 4d | torta.tech | Spread -2.5 | BuyCleveland Guardians70¢ → 100¢ | $1,337 | +$573 +43% | 4 |
| 4d | O/U 4.5 | BuyUnder40¢ → 100¢ | $1,157 | +$1,735 +150% | 4 | |
| 4d | 0xd35a…9328 | O/U 6.5 | SellOver29¢ → 0¢ | $1,167 | +$1,167 +100% | — |
| 4d | paquitomillonario | O/U 6.5 | BuyUnder66¢ → 100¢ | $2,573 | +$1,326 +52% | 14 |
| 4d | jaytee158 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians | BuyTampa Bay Rays90¢ → 100¢ | $4,950 | +$550 +11% | 5 |
| 4d | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians | BuyTampa Bay Rays84¢ → 100¢ | $5,670 | +$1,080 +19% | 5 | |
| 4d | 0F62 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians | BuyTampa Bay Rays84¢ → 100¢ | $47,407 | +$9,036 +19% | 5 |
| 4d | Shrill-Aunt | Spread -1.5 | BuyCleveland Guardians31¢ → 0¢ | $2,516 | −$2,516 −100% | 4 |
| 4d | curie | Spread -1.5 | BuyTampa Bay Rays65¢ → 100¢ | $1,123 | +$604 +54% | 4 |
| 4d | mooseborzoii4 fills | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians | BuyTampa Bay Rays77¢ → 100¢ | $11,679 | +$3,518 +30% | 6 |
| 4d | Katalunygeaxvhj4 fills | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians | BuyCleveland Guardians20¢ → 0¢ | $8,223 | −$8,223 −100% | 6 |
| 4d | Menacing-Pathology | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians | SellTampa Bay Rays89¢ → 100¢ | $1,125 | −$139 −12% | — |
| 4d | Katalunygeaxvhj | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians | SellCleveland Guardians10¢ → 0¢ | $1,991 | +$1,991 +100% | — |
| 4d | 0x9b11…53754 fills | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians | BuyTampa Bay Rays81¢ → 100¢ | $8,104 | +$1,919 +24% | 5 |
| 4d | mooseborzoii | Spread -3.5 | BuyCleveland Guardians54¢ → 100¢ | $1,049 | +$894 +85% | 4 |
| 4d | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians | BuyTampa Bay Rays85¢ → 100¢ | $4,201 | +$741 +18% | 5 | |
| 4d | suntori | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians | BuyTampa Bay Rays85¢ → 100¢ | $1,528 | +$270 +18% | 5 |
| 4d | mooseborzoii5 fills | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians | BuyCleveland Guardians27¢ → 0¢ | $8,962 | −$8,962 −100% | 6 |
| 4d | 0xd35a…9328 | O/U 7.5 | BuyOver46¢ → 0¢ | $1,841 | −$1,841 −100% | 4 |
| 4d | torta.tech2 fills | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians | BuyTampa Bay Rays68¢ → 100¢ | $3,721 | +$1,751 +47% | 6 |
| 4d | 0x9b11…5375 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians | SellTampa Bay Rays63¢ → 100¢ | $2,009 | −$1,180 −59% | — |
| 4d | 0xNuttawut | Spread -1.5 | BuyTampa Bay Rays47¢ → 100¢ | $3,760 | +$4,240 +113% | 4 |
| 4d | Flaznorp2 fills | O/U 6.5 | BuyOver56¢ → 0¢ | $2,167 | −$2,167 −100% | 12 |
| 4d | suleng662 fills | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians | BuyTampa Bay Rays59¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$2,767 +69% | 4 |
| 4d | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians | BuyCleveland Guardians47¢ → 0¢ | $5,860 | −$5,860 −100% | 6 | |
| 4d | Ideal-Tepee | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians | BuyTampa Bay Rays56¢ → 100¢ | $4,500 | +$3,469 +77% | 12 |
| 4d | O/U 6.5 | BuyUnder52¢ → 100¢ | $6,414 | +$5,989 +93% | 32 | |
| 4d | BrotherObama3 fills | O/U 6.5 | BuyOver49¢ → 0¢ | $80,000 | −$80,000 −100% | 34 |
| 4d | ChampGamp | NRFI | BuyNo63¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 4 |
| 4d | suleng66 | NRFI | BuyNo64¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 4 |
| 4d | ferdinand2 | O/U 6.5 | BuyUnder52¢ → 100¢ | $1,300 | +$1,200 +92% | 19 |
| 4d | ferrariChampions2026 | O/U 6.5 | BuyUnder52¢ → 100¢ | $18,187 | +$16,788 +92% | 34 |
| 4d | MAGATheeStallion | O/U 6.5 | BuyUnder52¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$1,846 +92% | 22 |
| 4d | kkookkoo2 fills | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians | BuyTampa Bay Rays54¢ → 100¢ | $6,897 | +$5,875 +85% | 4 |
| 4d | Talvez10 | O/U 6.5 | BuyUnder51¢ → 100¢ | $2,167 | +$2,082 +96% | 22 |
| 4d | 0xdb93…94cf | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians | SellTampa Bay Rays53¢ → 100¢ | $2,261 | −$2,005 −89% | — |
| 4d | ferrariChampions2026 | O/U 6.5 | BuyOver49¢ → 0¢ | $3,887 | −$3,887 −100% | 29 |
| 4d | Bentlix | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians | BuyTampa Bay Rays54¢ → 100¢ | $1,321 | +$1,125 +85% | 4 |
| 4d | Zzzz874 fills | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians | BuyCleveland Guardians46¢ → 0¢ | $40,158 | −$40,158 −100% | 4 |
| 4d | luesto | O/U 6.5 | SellUnder51¢ → 100¢ | $1,677 | −$1,611 −96% | — |
| 4d | luesto | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians | SellTampa Bay Rays54¢ → 100¢ | $3,982 | −$3,392 −85% | — |
| 4d | MAGATheeStallion | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians | BuyCleveland Guardians46¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 4 |
| 4d | Wonderful-Patio2 fills | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians | SellTampa Bay Rays54¢ → 100¢ | $7,085 | −$6,036 −85% | — |
| 4d | Krown | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians | BuyCleveland Guardians46¢ → 0¢ | $12,857 | −$12,857 −100% | 4 |
| 4d | jiafan | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians | BuyCleveland Guardians46¢ → 0¢ | $4,687 | −$4,687 −100% | 4 |
| 4d | malavika9933 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians | SellTampa Bay Rays54¢ → 100¢ | $2,160 | −$1,840 −85% | — |
| 5d | ferrariChampions20263 fills | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians | BuyTampa Bay Rays55¢ → 100¢ | $9,658 | +$7,902 +82% | 4 |
| 5d | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians | BuyCleveland Guardians45¢ → 0¢ | $2,716 | −$2,716 −100% | 4 |
This event refers to Game 5 of the ALCS originally scheduled for 8:00 PM ET on October 17, 2026. This game has been rescheduled to October 18, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET. Please refer to mlb.com for the latest start time information. In the upcoming MLB game between the Tampa Bay Rays and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for October 18 at 5:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game. This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians means the market gives it about 100%.