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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donald Trump | 100% | +2 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Kamala Harris | 0% | −2 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 725d | Mike888-247 | Donald Trump | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $9,997 | +$132 +1.3% | 10 |
| 729d |  CrunchWrapoDeLaFuente | Donald Trump | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $11,731 | −$280 −2.4% | — |
| 731d |  BigMike116 fills | Donald Trump | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $27,288 | −$402 −1.5% | — |
| 731d |  fhantombets | Donald Trump | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,966 | −$34 −1.7% | — |
| 739d | fhantombets2 fills | Kamala Harris | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,893 | +$52 +0.9% | 10 |
| 739d | BigMike11 | Donald Trump | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $29,720 | +$280 +0.9% | 10 |
| 761d |  LBZcapital2 fills | Other | SellNo>99¢ | $2,214 | −$8 −0.4% | — |
| 794d | AntiMAGA2 fills | Donald Trump | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $18,250 | +$559 +3.1% | 10 |
| 796d | CrunchWrapoDeLaFuente2 fills | Kamala Harris | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $4,907 | +$146 +3.0% | 10 |
| 807d | nofaceface | Donald Trump | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $4,769 | +$251 +5.3% | 10 |
| 912d | CrunchWrapoDeLaFuente | Other | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,465 | −$35 −2.4% | — |
This is a market on predicting the winner of the presidential election in Montana.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Donald Trump means the market gives it about 100%.