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Polymarket · WorldClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +73 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 258d |  George.Smiley | Morgan McSweeney out as Starmer Chief of Staff by February 28? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,243 | +$13 +1.0% | 20 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Morgan McSweeney ceases to be Sir Keir Starmer's Chief of Staff for any period of time between market creation and February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of McSweeney's resignation, removal, or other formal departure from this position before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/departure goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Morgan McSweeney or the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.
