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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marc Marquez | 100% | +28 pts | +26 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Alex Marquez | 0% | −4 pts | −20 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Francesco Bagnaia | 0% | −4 pts | −21 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Franco Morbidelli | 0% | −19 pts | −14 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fabio Di Giannantonio | 0% | −3 pts | −14 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Marco Bezzecchi | 0% | −1 pts | −9 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Pedro Acosta | 0% | −19 pts | −14 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fabio Quartararo | 0% | −2 pts | −14 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Johann Zarco | 0% | −2 pts | −14 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Maverick Vinales | 0% | −19 pts | −14 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fermin Aldeguer | 0% | −19 pts | −14 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Enea Bastianini | 0% | −19 pts | −14 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Raul Fernandez | 0% | −19 pts | −14 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Brad Binder | 0% | −19 pts | −14 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Michele Pirro | 0% | −19 pts | −14 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Aleix Espargaro | 0% | −19 pts | −14 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Miguel Oliveira | 0% | −19 pts | −14 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Joan Mir | 0% | −19 pts | −14 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jorge Martin | 0% | −19 pts | −14 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jack Miller | 0% | −19 pts | −11 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Alex Rins | 0% | −19 pts | −14 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ai Ogura | 0% | −19 pts | −14 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Luca Marini | 0% | −50 pts | −14 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Somkiat Chantra | 0% | −19 pts | −14 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lorenzo Savadori | 0% | −19 pts | −14 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Rider A | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Rider B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Rider C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Rider D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Rider E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Rider F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 467d | 911TurboS | Enea Bastianini | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,506 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 467d | 911TurboS | Alex Marquez | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,581 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 467d | 911TurboS | Johann Zarco | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,755 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 467d |  1800stopgambling | Ai Ogura | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,581 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 467d | LBZone | Fabio Quartararo | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,013 | +$9 +0.1% | 4 |
| 467d | 911TurboS | Marc Marquez | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,462 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 467d | LBZone | Michele Pirro | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,550 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 467d | LBZone | Lorenzo Savadori | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,556 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 467d | LBZone | Joan Mir | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,550 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 467d | LBZone | Maverick Vinales | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,690 | +$9 +0.1% | 4 |
| 467d | nostradamus-markets | Marco Bezzecchi | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,903 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 467d | nostradamus-markets2 fills | Fabio Di Giannantonio | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,759 | +$9 +0.1% | 4 |
| 467d | nostradamus-markets | Johann Zarco | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 467d | nostradamus-markets | Franco Morbidelli | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,138 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 467d | nostradamus-markets | Jorge Martin | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,820 | +$9 +0.1% | 4 |
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2025 MotoGP Liqui Moly Grand Prix of Germany, scheduled for July 13, 2025. If the 2025 MotoGP Liqui Moly Grand Prix of Germany is canceled or rescheduled to a date after August 1, 2025, this market will resolve to “Other.” In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the rider whose listed last name comes first alphabetically (i.e. in the case of a tie, Bagnaia would resolve to "Yes", Marquez would resolve to "No"). The resolution source will be the official MotoGP website and credible sports news reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Marc Marquez means the market gives it about 100%.