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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <$52m | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $52-58m | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $58-64m | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $64-70m | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| >$70m | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 670d | AIisTheNewWalkingDead2 fills | <$52m | BuyYes>99¢ | $13,737 | +$19 +0.1% | 4 |
| 670d | longtern | <$52m | BuyYes100¢ | $3,263 | +$16 +0.5% | 4 |
| 670d |  AgricultureSecretary2 fills | <$52m | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $17,390 | +$143 +0.8% | 4 |
| 670d |  aenews2 | <$52m | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,105 | −$28 −0.7% | — |
| 670d | 0xfd | <$52m | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,098 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 |
| 671d |  Vespuccii3 fills | <$52m | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $6,148 | −$51 −0.8% | — |
| 671d | AIisTheNewWalkingDead | $58-64m | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,343 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 671d | 56777 | $64-70m | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,118 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 671d | Jealous-Upgrade | <$52m | BuyYes100¢ | $1,021 | +$5 +0.5% | 4 |
| 671d | cigarettes | $58-64m | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,348 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 671d | cigarettes | $64-70m | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,348 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 671d | cigarettes | >$70m | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,348 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 671d | cigarettes | $52-58m | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,341 | +$9 +0.4% | 4 |
| 671d |  zengg | <$52m | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,055 | −$20 −1.9% | — |
| 671d | zengg | <$52m | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,067 | +$8 +0.8% | 4 |
| 672d |  Wickier | <$52m | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $5,428 | −$92 −1.7% | — |
| 672d | wokerjoesleeper | >$70m | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,773 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 672d | wokerjoesleeper | $64-70m | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,773 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 672d | wokerjoesleeper | $52-58m | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,767 | +$8 +0.3% | 4 |
| 672d | wokerjoesleeper | $58-64m | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,773 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 672d | AIisTheNewWalkingDead | $52-58m | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,687 | +$16 +0.4% | 4 |
| 672d |  sorcerer.022 fills | <$52m | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,954 | +$59 +1.5% | 4 |
| 672d | aenews23 fills | <$52m | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $16,595 | +$577 +3.5% | 4 |
| 672d |  stormshadow | <$52m | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,498 | +$56 +2.2% | 4 |
| 672d | Wickier | >$70m | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,890 | −$28 −1.0% | — |
| 672d | Pastel-Dozen | <$52m | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,330 | −$34 −2.6% | — |
| 673d |  WordleAddict2 fills | <$52m | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,924 | +$92 +2.3% | 4 |
| 673d | aenews2 | $58-64m | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,747 | +$24 +0.2% | 4 |
| 673d | aenews2 | $64-70m | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,550 | +$12 +0.2% | 4 |
| 673d | aenews2 | >$70m | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,948 | +$6 +0.2% | 4 |
| 673d | AIisTheNewWalkingDead | >$70m | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,150 | +$4 +0.3% | 4 |
| 673d | aviato | <$52m | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $3,492 | +$108 +3.1% | 4 |
| 673d |  KimJonEn | <$52m | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $3,104 | +$129 +4.2% | 4 |
| 673d |  GUHHH3 fills | <$52m | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $5,660 | +$286 +5.0% | 4 |
| 673d | GUHHH | >$70m | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,967 | −$33 −1.1% | — |
| 673d | Vespuccii | <$52m | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,235 | +$65 +5.3% | 4 |
| 674d | Gallo | <$52m | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $2,416 | −$154 −6.4% | — |
| 674d | Melody626 | <$52m | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,587 | +$84 +5.3% | 4 |
| 676d | guadalupe183 | <$52m | SellNo36¢ → 0¢ | $1,044 | +$1,044 +100% | — |
| 676d | ethylauervyo | <$52m | SellNo36¢ → 0¢ | $1,008 | +$1,008 +100% | — |
| 676d | oscardubuque | <$52m | SellNo36¢ → 0¢ | $1,008 | +$1,008 +100% | — |
| 676d | julesautemjouw | <$52m | SellNo36¢ → 0¢ | $1,044 | +$1,044 +100% | — |
| 678d | Juczi | <$52m | BuyNo59¢ → 0¢ | $1,257 | −$1,257 −100% | 4 |
| 680d |  crystalfalls | $58-64m | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$488 +16% | 4 |
| 682d | Caveman12 | >$70m | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,060 | +$192 +18% | 4 |
TimeTraveler5,093 sharesThis is a negrisk market group over the opening weekend box office figures for 'Mufasa: The Lion King'.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for <$52m means the market gives it about 100%.