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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $200M | 38% | −1 pts | −4 pts | 29¢ · 47¢ (18¢) | — | in 434d |
| $300M | 36% | +7 pts | +5 pts | 22¢ · 50¢ (28¢) | — | in 434d |
| $500M | 7% | 0 pts | +1 pts | 6¢ · 8¢ (2¢) | — | in 434d |
| $800M | 7% | — | 0 pts | 6¢ · 7¢ (1¢) | — | in 434d |
| $20M | 96% | 0 pts | — | 92¢ · 99¢ (7¢) | — | in 434d |
| $1B | 4% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 3¢ · 4¢ (1¢) | — | in 434d |
| $250M | 33% | +5 pts | −4 pts | 25¢ · 41¢ (16¢) | $157 | in 434d |
| $150M | 55% | — | −17 pts | 51¢ · 58¢ (7¢) | $144 | in 434d |
| $100M | 75% | +1 pts | −12 pts | 73¢ · 76¢ (3¢) | $33.9 | in 434d |
| $50M | 93% | 0 pts | −6 pts | 87¢ · 98¢ (11¢) | $1.47 | in 434d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36d | yulen | $100M | SellYes92¢ → 75¢ | $1,001 | +$188 +19% | — |
mewmew11,260 shares
alanhutton695 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of multipli.fi's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If multipli.fi (https://x.com/multiplifi) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 38¢ for $200M means the market gives it about 38%.