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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 805d | marek | Musk x Maduro fight scheduled by Aug 9? | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,000 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 805d |  AgricultureSecretary2 fills | Musk x Maduro fight scheduled by Aug 9? | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,884 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 806d | Neonview2 fills | Musk x Maduro fight scheduled by Aug 9? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $12,002 | +$123 +1.0% | 4 |
| 807d | 5TudorDivers | Musk x Maduro fight scheduled by Aug 9? | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,494 | +$16 +0.1% | 4 |
| 813d | cojewf | Musk x Maduro fight scheduled by Aug 9? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,039 | +$14 +1.3% | 4 |
| 813d | zvadvAzx | Musk x Maduro fight scheduled by Aug 9? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,171 | +$15 +1.3% | 4 |
polycent50 sharesOn July 31, Elon Musk posted that he accepted Venezuelan politician Nicolas Maduro's challenge for a fight. You can see the post here: https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1818683475530334368 This market will resolve to "Yes" if Venezuelan politician Nicolas Maduro and Elon Musk both announce that they have scheduled a date for a fight by August 9, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, an “announcement” will be defined as Nicolas Maduro Elon Musk and Elon Musk publicly confirming that a physical fight will take place. The fight itself does not need to take place prior to August 9 for this market to resolve to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be any statements issued directly by both Nicolas Maduro and Elon Musk which confirm that a fight will take place.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.