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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 16% | — | +5 pts | 8¢ · 23¢ (15¢) | — | in 69d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 212d | Nara Smith confirmed pregnant in 2026? | BuyYes71¢ → 16¢ | $26,980 | −$21,090 −78% | 4 | |
| 212d | Nara Smith confirmed pregnant in 2026? | BuyNo94¢ → 85¢ | $35,630 | −$3,520 −9.9% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nara Smith announces that she is pregnant between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only credible announcements will qualify. Pregnancy announcements that are not credible, for example jokes, will not suffice. The resolution source will be statements from Nara Smith or her representatives; however, a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 16¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 16%.