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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Reddick | 100% | +93 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Ross Chastain | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Austin Cindric | 0% | −8 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Austin Dillon | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Noah Gragson | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Kyle Larson | 0% | −9 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Brad Keselowski | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Daniel Suárez | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Kyle Busch | 0% | −7 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Chase Elliott | 0% | −7 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ty Dillon | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Denny Hamlin | 0% | −6 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ryan Blaney | 0% | −6 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| A.J. Allmendinger | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Chris Buescher | 0% | −6 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Chase Briscoe | 0% | −6 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Christopher Bell | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Josh Berry | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Joey Logano | 0% | −8 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Bubba Wallace | 0% | −6 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| William Byron | 0% | −8 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Todd Gilliland | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Riley Herbst | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Chandler Smith | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Zane Smith | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Justin Allgaier | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cole Custer | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| John Hunter Nemechek | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Erik Jones | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Alex Bowman | 0% | −7 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cody Ware | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ty Gibbs | 0% | −6 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ryan Preece | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Anthony Alfredo | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Casey Mears | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Corey Heim | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Michael McDowell | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Carson Hocevar | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jimmie Johnson | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Connor Zilisch | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shane van Gisbergen | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Corey LaJoie | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Driver A | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver K | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver L | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver M | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver N | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver O | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 250d | SuperbowlorBust | Tyler Reddick | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,799 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 251d | dfsgretfewqrfew2 fills | William Byron | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $9,229 | +$537 +5.8% | 5 |
| 252d | materialViable | Anthony Alfredo | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,405 | −$29 −2.0% | — |
| 252d | report-burger | Anthony Alfredo | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,261 | −$26 −2.0% | — |
| 252d | Awareforward | Anthony Alfredo | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,163 | −$23 −1.9% | — |
| 252d | chestArm | Anthony Alfredo | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,244 | −$24 −1.9% | — |
| 252d | giftoq83 | Jimmie Johnson | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,270 | −$49 −3.8% | — |
| 252d | planet91 | Jimmie Johnson | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,617 | −$62 −3.8% | — |
| 252d | health-meat | Jimmie Johnson | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,071 | −$41 −3.8% | — |
| 252d | north949 | Jimmie Johnson | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,622 | −$62 −3.8% | — |
| 252d | giftoq83 | Jimmie Johnson | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,278 | +$41 +3.2% | 5 |
| 252d | planet91 | Jimmie Johnson | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,627 | +$52 +3.2% | 5 |
| 252d | energy13 | Jimmie Johnson | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,450 | +$45 +3.1% | 5 |
| 252d | walk68 | Ryan Blaney | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,612 | −$159 −9.9% | — |
| 252d | abandon537 | Ryan Blaney | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,004 | −$99 −9.9% | — |
| 252d | report-burger | Ryan Blaney | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,270 | −$126 −9.9% | — |
| 252d | throwrv24 | Jimmie Johnson | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,414 | −$44 −3.1% | — |
| 252d | throwrv24 | Jimmie Johnson | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,173 | +$36 +3.1% | 5 |
This market will resolve according to the driver who wins the 2026 NASCAR Daytona 500, scheduled for February 15, 2026, 2:30 PM ET. The market will resolve based on the official final race results published by NASCAR following the conclusion of the race. The official final results include any applied time penalties or official adjustments made by NASCAR at the time of publication. Any disqualifications or result changes made after publication of the official final results will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result; only NASCAR’s published final results will be used. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 Daytona 500 per the rules of the NASCAR Cup Series (e.g., disqualification, driver withdraws), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 NASCAR Daytona 500 is cancelled, postponed past March 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from NASCAR (https://www.nascar.com/).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Tyler Reddick means the market gives it about 100%.