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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 816d | neezduts-028 | Nasrallah remains leader of Hezbollah through July? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,115 | +$31 +1.0% | 4 |
| 817d | Nasrallah remains leader of Hezbollah through July? | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $2,716 | +$158 +5.8% | 5 | |
| 836d | Overlooked-FocusNew account | Nasrallah remains leader of Hezbollah through July? | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,013 | −$41 −4.1% | — |
| 836d | Overlooked-FocusNew account | Nasrallah remains leader of Hezbollah through July? | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,056 | +$37 +3.5% | 6 |
| 836d | SGFDG | Nasrallah remains leader of Hezbollah through July? | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,062 | +$39 +3.6% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hassan Nasrallah remains the Secretary-General of Hezbollah uninterrupted from June 21, to July 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.